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Tag Archives: Donald Rumsfeld
Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation letter – November 6, 2006
Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation as US Secretary of Defense (PDF file): Donald Rumsfeld announced his resignation in this letter. InTrade can expire a Rumsfeld resignation event derivative on the basis of this letter. In the Larry Craig case, where the US … Continue reading
InTrade expired the Larry Craig prediction market too early.
Scroll down the whole story and judge by yourself, folks. — New York Times: “As he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on Sept. 30,†Mr. [Dan Whiting, a spokesman for Mr. Craig] said in a statement. “However, … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged artist, Associated Press, Bill Sali, BOISE, business media outlets, C.L. ''Butch'' Otter, CEO, Chris Masse, Craig Announces
Intent, Craig Announces, Craig's committee, Dan Whiting, Donald Rumsfeld, energy, governor, Idaho, immediate counsel, InTrade, Ireland, John Delaney, judge, Kirk Sullivan, Larry Craig, leader, lobbyist, media sources, Minneapolis airport, Minnesota, Minnesota Police, New York Times, non-sports prediction markets, prediction markets, public official, Reiki, Senate, Senate GOP, Senator, Shae, spokesman, spokesman for Mr. Craig, Suzanne, the New York Times, Tom Luna, United States, United States Senate, USD, Washington, William E. Borah, www.attorneykennugent.com/library/i.html, www.austin.cc.tx.us/sbramme2/Glossary.htm, www.eoni.com/~visionquest/library/glossary.html, www.iejs.com/glossary/Glossary_I.htm, www.learner.org/channel/workshops/artsineveryclassroom/p1popups/vocabulary.html, www.reikithehealingpath.com/reiki_glossary.htm, www.voyager.in/Larceny, www5.aaos.org/oko/vb/online_pubs/professional_liability/glossary.cfm
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Did the TradeSports prediction market foresee Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation? No.
— Source: TradeSports — Remember: Debunking John Delaney — Can prediction markets foretell resignations? — by Chris. F. Masse — 2005-09-04