Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Democratic president

A second look at HedgeStreet’s comment to the CFTC about “event markets”

Other than the ISDA (which is an association of operators who do not trade on regulated derivative exchanges), HedgeStreet (a non-intermediated DCM) was the first representative of the regulated derivative exchange community to submit a comment to the CFTC. — (PDF file)
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HedgeStreet are saying that:

The political elections qualify as “excluded commodities” (as opposed to “exempted [...]

My response to the CFTC on event contracts

Here is my response to the CFTC’s “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts.” I appreciate this opportunity to help in working towards regulated prediction markets in the US, and I thank the Commissioners for it.
Given the political implications of the rise in commodity prices, this is not the best environment in [...]

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