Tag Archives: decision tool

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Bruke Hansen: [...] The day concluded with three papers covering prediction markets, the first by Robin Hanson, the world’s leading proponent of prediction markets and former head of DARPA’s notorious “terror casino”. Robin Hanson – futarchist, cryogenic enthusiast, and all … Continue reading

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Icons. Geniuses. Mavericks. – REDUX

Last time, I told you about TED 2007 and I noticed Nathan Myhrvold (former MicroSoft CTO –he founded MicroSoft Research) in the speaker list. That prompted me to visit his site, Intellectual Ventures, home of his “invention company”: Intellectual Ventures … Continue reading

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Prediction Markets for Science?

There’s a set of Robin Hanson slides that are much more interesting than the presentation he gave at Yahoo! Confab. – It’s bigger (67 slides vs. 21) and it covers the prediction market problematic in a more comprehensive way (including … Continue reading

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Prediction Markets, Decision Markets, and More

Prediction Markets, Decision Markets, and More – (PPT) – by Robin Hanson – 2006-12-13 – All speculation is “gambling”! – In direct compare, beats alternatives – (Vs. Public Opinion – Vs. Public Experts – Vs. Private Experts) – Advantages – … Continue reading

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