Tag Archives: decision-aid tool
BetFair’s Global Warming Prediction Markets — CFM’s Views
GOOD NEWS: BetFair-TradeFair are minding the prediction markets.
BAD NEWS: There is a bunch of chaps at BetFair who are monkeying around with the concept of prediction markets.
—
THEIR INTENT IS NOBLE.
Mark Davies, Betfair’s Managing Director Corporate Affairs, said:
Whilst these climate markets are experimental, they demonstrate a commitment to use our assets to innovate and make a [...]
I think Robin’s being too hard on himself.
That’s what I was told by someone who knows him [Robin Hanson] for more than just years.
So I figured out I should write up a little something, especially since I saw this morning that my previous blog post (Is GMU professor Robin Hanson an inventor, an innovator, or… a complete loser??) was yesterday’s most downloaded [...]
Decision-Making Tool vs. Decision-Aid Tool — Decision Markets Edition
#1. Decision-Making Tool – Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended (by some idealists) to be used as a decision-making tool replacing human decision makers.
#2. Decision-Aid Tool – Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended to be used as a decision-aid tool advising human decision makers.
—
Am I nailing well the Robin Hanson ambiguity here?? It [...]
Recent Comments