Tag Archives: decision-aid tool

BetFair’s Global Warming Prediction Markets — CFM’s Views

GOOD NEWS: BetFair-TradeFair are minding the prediction markets. BAD NEWS: There is a bunch of chaps at BetFair who are monkeying around with the concept of prediction markets. — THEIR INTENT IS NOBLE. Mark Davies, Betfair’s Managing Director Corporate Affairs, … Continue reading

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I think Robin’s being too hard on himself.

That’s what I was told by someone who knows him [Robin Hanson] for more than just years. So I figured out I should write up a little something, especially since I saw this morning that my previous blog post (Is … Continue reading

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Decision-Making Tool vs. Decision-Aid Tool — Decision Markets Edition

#1. Decision-Making Tool – Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended (by some idealists) to be used as a decision-making tool replacing human decision makers. #2. Decision-Aid Tool – Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended to be used as … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments