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- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
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- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
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Tag Archives: Daniel Reeves
Daniel Reeves is blogging.
Daniel Reeves — Messy Matters | Bring Your Own Data
Posted in Resources - References
Tagged Daniel Reeves, Messy Matters, Open Media, Science, technology
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Keeping an eye on those Yahoo! research scientists
In my previous post, I told you what are the 3 main issues about prediction markets. (There are many more. Space limitation.) As far as I know, as of today, one group of researchers is very likely to produce some … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), People
Tagged Daniel Reeves, hype, Leslie Fine, prediction markets, Yahoo! Research
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Prediction market fanboy names his newborn child after a prediction exchange.
- Cantor Exchange – PS: This post is filed under “humor“, and is published in good spirit toward research scientist Daniel Reeves. -
DANIEL REEVES WANTS YOU TO VISIT THIS WEBSITE AND ANALYZE ITS MODEL:
- Turing Trade Do use the 3 deep links below, and not the frontpage, as that website is not well designed. Do right-click on the 3 links below, and open each of them in a new browser tab. About Turing … Continue reading
The best researchers on prediction markets
CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading
Posted in People, Resources - References
Tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling
- Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton
- James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan
- Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski
- Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand
- Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow
- Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage
- Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica
- Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian
- Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode
- Paul Rhode, W. Ross
- Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager
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Better Pricing for Tournament Prediction Markets
Last year while working out a few thoughts on arbitrage opportunities in basketball tournament prediction markets at Inkling, it occurred to me that the Inkling pricing mechanism was just a little bit off for such applications. The question is whether … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated)
Tagged American League, basketball, Chris Hibbert, combinatorial markets, Daniel Reeves, David Pennock, George Levchenko, Inkling, inkling markets, internet users, Major, Major League Baseball, Market Scoring Rules, MLB, National League, NCAA, online office pool, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Sharad Goel, Tournaments, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen
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BetFair, TradeSports-InTrade and the Hollywood Stock Exchange do control what you read on Wikipedia.
— — – BetFair has been editing Wikipedia 6 times. – TradeSports-InTrade has been editing Wikipedia 33 times. – Cantor (the owner of the HSX): 134 times. – Google (of Bo Cowgill) and Yahoo! (of David Pennock and Daniel Reeves): … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Resources - References
Tagged Alex Costakis, Cantor, Daniel Reeves, David Pennock, David Yu, George Mason University, Google, Henry Berg, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Iowa, John Delaney, Microsoft, New York Times, owner, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, University of Iowa, Yahoo!
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Robin Hanson’s concept of decision markets applied to Midas Oracle management
Daniel Reeves on the scenario of a Midas Oracle convention: [...] The survey should be about how to measure the success of Midas Oracle (â€vote on valuesâ€). Ie, as social scientists say, we operationalize “successâ€. Then have two conditional prediction … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Proposals), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Midas Oracle Administration
Tagged Collective Decision Making, Daniel Reeves, decision making, decision markets, decision-aid markets, Internet presence, Kos, Midas Oracle, prediction markets, Robin Hanson
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Yes Virginia, Wikipedia is a warzone of vested interests.
Wiki Scanner: Search the Wikipedia edits to spot the organizations that edited it. It would be interesting to investigate who edited the Wikipedia pages on prediction markets and betting exchanges. (At the time of writing, Wiki Scanner was out of … Continue reading
Who needs prediction markets when you can average probabilistic predictions??
David Pennock and Daniel Reeves, cited by James Surowiecki (author of The Wisdom Of Crowds) in a comment on Midas Oracle: [...] Clearly, for most people, averaging their own assessment with others is the right strategy. [...] As for how … Continue reading