Tag Archives: Daniel Kahneman

Is the promise of prediction markets in the United States best explored in limited, small stakes markets under a CFTC safe harbor declaration?

I haven’t turned up the latest edition of Science magazine mentioned yesterday by Chris F. Masse, but a version of the Science article “The Promise of Prediction Markets“, is available from the AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies (find … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Politics, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Bob Hahn turns the PETITION into a CONSENSUS.

Bob Hahn turns lead into gold. — Via Google’s Bo Cowgill, Robert Hahn and Paul Tetlock’s Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal (mirror at AEI-Brookings – mirror at AEI): [...] These markets often predict more accurately than experts. Why? They … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments