Tag Archives: Daniel Kahneman

Is the promise of prediction markets in the United States best explored in limited, small stakes markets under a CFTC safe harbor declaration?

Written by Michael Giberson on May 16, 2008 — 1 Comment

I haven’t turned up the latest edition of Science magazine mentioned yesterday by Chris F. Masse, but a version of the Science article “The Promise of Prediction Markets“, is available from the AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies (find link to article on this page).
The first thing of note is that the extensive list [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Politics, Regulations | Also tagged AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies, American Enterprise Institute, CFTC, Charles R. Plott, Chris F. Masse, Congress, event derivative markets, event derivatives, hard-core PM, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Shyam Sunder, sports events, United States, USD

Bob Hahn turns the PETITION into a CONSENSUS.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 11, 2007 — 6 Comments

Bob Hahn turns lead into gold.
—
Via Google’s Bo Cowgill, Robert Hahn and Paul Tetlock’s Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal (mirror at AEI-Brookings – mirror at AEI):
[...] These markets often predict more accurately than experts. Why? They draw on the knowledge of people who might otherwise be ignored. Their anonymity frees participants from pressures to [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Also tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center, Bob Hahn, Bob Himself, Chris Hibbert, Chris Masse, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, economist, Google, Jason Ruspini, Kenneth Arrow, Paul Tetlock, prediction markets, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, serious tools, Steve Levitt, The Wall Street Journal, Thomas Schelling, United States, USD, Vernon Smith, Viva Steve Levitt, Wall Street Journal, Washington, zany Internet folks

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 7, 2007 — 9 Comments

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Charles R. Plott, Thomas C. Schelling, [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Also tagged AEI, AEI-Brookings Joint Center, California, California Institute of Technology, Charles R. Plott, Congress, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Forrest D. Nelson, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, Hal R. Varian, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, Iowa, John O. Ledyard, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth J. Arrow, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Maryland, Michael Gorham, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Pennsylvania, Philip E. Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Robert Forsythe, Robert Hahn, Robert J. Shiller, Robert Litan, Robin Hanson, Saul Levmore, Stanford University, Texas, Thomas C. Schelling, United States, University of California, University of Chicago, University of Iowa, University of Maryland, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, Vernon L. Smith, Yale University

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Tag Archives: Daniel Kahneman

Is the promise of prediction markets in the United States best explored in limited, small stakes markets under a CFTC safe harbor declaration?

Bob Hahn turns the PETITION into a CONSENSUS.

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

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