Tag Archives: Dan Whiting

Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation letter – November 6, 2006

Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation as US Secretary of Defense (PDF file): Donald Rumsfeld announced his resignation in this letter. InTrade can expire a Rumsfeld resignation event derivative on the basis of this letter. In the Larry Craig case, where the US … Continue reading

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Resignation Intent vs. Upcoming Resignation vs. Effective Resignation

— US Senator Larry Craig (on September 1, 2007 – no deep link yet): Senator Craig Announces Intent to Resign from the Senate [...] Therefore it is with sadness and deep regret that I announce that it is my intent … Continue reading

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InTrade expired the Larry Craig prediction market too early.

Scroll down the whole story and judge by yourself, folks. — New York Times: “As he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on Sept. 30,” Mr. [Dan Whiting, a spokesman for Mr. Craig] said in a statement. “However, … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments