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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Customer Development</title>
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	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
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		<title>The Death Spiral Of The Prediction Market Startups &#8211; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/27/the-death-spiral-of-the-prediction-market-startups/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/27/the-death-spiral-of-the-prediction-market-startups/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Nov 2010 15:06:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Explainers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inventions & Innovations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[angel investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business angels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Blank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capitalists]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=22007</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[James Surowiecki, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers were the 3 boosters of the prediction markets. It turned out they were dead wrong &#8212; prediction markets are not that useful in business. 7:45 into Steve Blank nailed it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>James Surowiecki, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers were the 3 boosters of the prediction markets. It turned out they were dead wrong &#8212; prediction markets are not that useful in business.</p>
<p><strong>7:45 into</strong></p>
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<p>Steve Blank nailed it.</p>
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		<title>Steve Blank: There is a fine line between hallucination and vision. &#8211; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/26/steve-blank-vision-startup-entrepreneur/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/26/steve-blank-vision-startup-entrepreneur/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Nov 2010 23:14:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business & Economic Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inventions & Innovations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hallucination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Blank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21988</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;A startup is a temporary organization that is designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model.&#8221;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>&#8220;A startup is a temporary organization that is designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/GYxKOMLlKL4?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;color1=0x5d1719&amp;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/GYxKOMLlKL4?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;color1=0x5d1719&amp;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Customer Development starts by testing your hypotheses outside the building.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/17/customer-development-steve-blank/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/17/customer-development-steve-blank/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 14:04:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[selling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Blank]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=17244</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Not in planning meetings, not in writing multiple pages of nicely formatted Marketing Requirements Documents, but by getting laughed at, ignored, thrown out and educated by potential customers as you listen to their needs and test the fundamental hypotheses of &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/17/customer-development-steve-blank/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://steveblank.com/2009/09/17/the-path-of-warriors-and-winners/">&#8220;Not in planning meetings, not in writing multiple pages of nicely formatted Marketing Requirements Documents, but <strong>by getting laughed at, ignored, thrown out and educated by potential customers</strong> as you <strong>listen to their needs</strong> and test the fundamental hypotheses of your business.&#8221;</a></p>
<p><a href="http://steveblank.com/2009/09/17/the-path-of-warriors-and-winners/"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-17245" title="customer-development" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/customer-development.jpg" alt="customer-development" width="539" height="138" /></a></p>
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		<title>Steve Blank&#8217;s marketing &#8211; Customer Development</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/30/customer-development/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/30/customer-development/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2009 08:07:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FanDuel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HubDub]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nigel Eccles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Blank]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=16728</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Customer Development certainly lacks the drama of the overnight pizza to Porsche success story, and doing it properly takes time. However, in return you maximize your chance of finding customers who will give you their money before you run out &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/30/customer-development/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://uk.techcrunch.com/2009/08/30/the-long-lost-formula-for-start-up-success-no-really/">&#8220;Customer Development certainly lacks the drama of the overnight pizza to Porsche success story, and doing it properly takes time. However, in return you maximize your chance of <strong>finding customers who will give you their money before you run out of yours.</strong>&#8220;</a></p>
<p><a href="http://steveblank.com/">Steve Blank&#8217;s blog</a></p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Gary_Blank">The key points of Customer Development are</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>1.</strong> Get out of the building. Very few technology startups fail for lack of technology. <strong>They almost always fail for lack of customers.</strong> Yet surprisingly few companies take the basic step of attempting to learn about their customers (or potential customers) until it is too late &#8211; it&#8217;s just so easy to focus on product and technology instead. True, there are the rare products that have literally no market risk; they are all about technology risk (i.e. life sciences and a &#8220;cure for cancer&#8221;). For everyone else you need to get some facts to inform and qualify our hypotheses (&#8220;fancy word for guesses&#8221;) about <strong>what kind of product customers will ultimately buy.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>2.</strong> Theory of market types. Market Types is a theory that helps explain why different startups face wildly different challenges and time horizons. There are three fundamental situations that change what your company needs to do: <strong>creating a new market, bringing a new product to an existing market, and resegmenting an existing market.</strong> If you&#8217;re entering an existing market, competition comes from the incumbent players. When creating a new market, it may take years before you get traction with early customers.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Finding a market for the product as specified.</strong> Customer Development tries is to find the minimum feature set required to get early customers.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>4.</strong> Phases of product &amp; company growth. Customer Development posits that startups go through four stages of growth; <strong>Customer Discovery</strong> (when you&#8217;re just trying to figure out if there are any customers who might want your product), <strong>Customer Validation</strong> (when you make your first revenue by selling your early product), <strong>Customer Creation</strong> (akin to a traditional startup launch,) and <strong>Company Building</strong> (where you gear up to Cross the Chasm and realign management.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>5.</strong> Learning and iterating vs. linear execution. In the early stage of a startup companies s are focused on figuring out which way is up. They really don&#8217;t have a clue what they should be doing, and everything is guesses. In a traditional startup model, they would probably publicly launch their product and company during this phase, failing or succeeding spectacularly. <strong>Only after a major, public, and expensive failure would they try a new iteration.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 90px;"><strong>6.</strong> Premature Execution. An insight of Customer Development is that startups need time spent in a mindset of learning and iterating, before they try to launch. During that time, <strong>they can collect facts and change direction in private, without dramatic and public embarrassment for their founders and investors.</strong></p>
<p><em>Next</em>: <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/30/steve-blank-entrepreneurship-startups/">Steve Blank on entrepreneurship and startups</a></p>
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