Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: corporate prediction market applications

One idea is to run public markets on events that affect one’s stock market value.

… wrote Eric Zitzewitz:
I have thought for a long time that the most interesting and underexplored set of corporate prediction market applications were the financial ones.
One idea is to run public markets on events that affect one’s stock market value. Eli Lilly did this for public policy events with Newsfutures in 2003. But as far [...]

One idea is to run public markets on events that affect one’s stock market value.

… wrote Eric Zitzewitz:
I have thought for a long time that the most interesting and underexplored set of corporate prediction market applications were the financial ones.
One idea is to run public markets on events that affect one’s stock market value. Eli Lilly did this for public policy events with Newsfutures in 2003. But as far [...]

Prediction Markets for the CFO

Here is the presentation I am about to give at the Yahoo confab. In my 10 minutes, I’m going to describe some recent work with Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers on financial market responses to the 2004 and 2006 elections. We use a method we call a Prediction Market Event Study — which [...]

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