Tag Archives: Colorado

Christo’s project over the Arkansas river in Colorado

Christo’s site. Opponents. NYT.

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Inkling Markets and NewsFutures should merge. Or play-money InTrade should let users create their own event derivative(s). Or maybe TradeFair should do it. Or Zocalo should be based on the Web. Or Greg Knaddison should pop out of his Colorado cave with something great.

Whatever. So we could have at least one user-managed, CDA-powered , play-money prediction exchange. (With some MSR-inspired automated market maker, maybe.) And, by the same token, thousands of little Gibersons who will create and expire new event derivatives. I got … Continue reading

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Combinatorial markets for independent events: Flawed use of approach hampers price discovery

“Which teams will play in the 2007 World Series?“ An experienced market manager has created a market asking this question at the Inkling public markets, setting it up at the end of the regular season and listing contracts in each … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Prices & Probabilities, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

HedgeStreet: The state of California (among other) is dysfunctional.

From the November 07, 2006′s HedgeStreet e-mail newsletter: DYSFUNCTIONAL STATES How to tell which state has the most dysfunctional government? Count the number of ballot measures. If voters can’t trust elected representatives, they take matters in their own hands. The … Continue reading

Posted in Politics | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment