Midas Oracle .ORG » Clemens van Dinther http://www.midasoracle.org Prediction Markets, etc. Mon, 13 Feb 2012 22:24:30 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/01/third-workshop-on-prediction-markets-july-9-in-chicago-2/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/01/third-workshop-on-prediction-markets-july-9-in-chicago-2/#comments Tue, 01 Jul 2008 23:27:30 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=7401 Continue reading →]]> The Third:

July 9th, 2008

-
1:25pm Opening Remarks

-

1:30 – 2:20pm: Session 1: Practical Applications and Experiences

-

Speaker: Emile Servan-Schreiber (1:30-1:45pm)

  • Keys to successful implementation of an internal corporate prediction market (Emile Servan-Schreiber)

-

Speaker: Todd Henderson (1:45-2:05pm)

  • Prediction Markets for Corporate Governance (Michael Abramowicz and Todd Henderson)
  • Predicting Crime (Todd Henderson, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitzewitz)

Discussion (2:05pm – 2:15pm)
-

2:20pm-3:10pm Session 2: Security Design and Theory

-

Speaker: Hajime Mizuyama (2:15 pm — 2:30pm)

  • Intra-Firm Prediction Market System Using VIPS for Demand Forecasting (Hajime Mizuyama)

-

Speaker: Stefan Stathel (2:30 pm –2:45pm)

  • Information Efficiency and Liquidity in Information Markets: A market-maker based approach (Stefan Stathel, Clemens van Dinther, and Stefan Luckner)

-

Speaker: Eiichero Kazumori (2:45 pm — 3:00pm)

  • A Strategic Theory of Markets (Eiichiro Kazumori)

Discussion (3pm-3:10pm)
-

3:10pm-3:30pm: Break

-

3:30-4:25pm: Session 3: Event Detection

-

Speaker: Todd Kuethe (3:30 – 3:45pm)

  • Identifying “Tipping Points” in US Presidential Campaigns: Evidence from Prediction Market Prices 1992-2004 (Todd H. Kuethe, David Ubilava, Benoit Delbecq, and Kenneth A. Foster)

-

Speaker: George Tziralis (3:45pm – 4:00pm)

  • Detecting Important Events using Prediction Markets, Text Mining, and Volatility Modeling (George Tziralis and Panos Ipeirotis)

-

Speaker: Abe Othman (4:00pm-4:15pm)

  • Time Inconsistency and Uncertainty Aversion in Information Markets (Ivan Corwin and Abe Othman)

Discussion (4:15pm-4:25pm)

-
Session 4: Comparison to Alternatives (4:25-4:55pm)

-
Speaker: Andreas Graefe (4:25-4:45pm)

  • Can you beat the market? Accuracy of Individual and Group Post-Prediction Market Judgments (Andreas Graefe and J. Scott Armstrong)
  • Group Decision Making – Face-to-face Meetings, Nominal Groups, Delphi, and Prediction Markets Compared (Andreas Graefe and J. Scott Armstrong)

Discussion: 4:45-4:55pm

-

Wrap-up: 4:55-5pm

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/01/third-workshop-on-prediction-markets-july-9-in-chicago-2/feed/ 0