Tag Archives: chief

What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”

Posted on July 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline. – An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline. – - I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science | Tagged advanced, bombing, bombs, Central Intelligence Agency, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade trader, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, Mossad, Pentagon, physics, prediction markets, retarded, Says Any Attack, strikes, time, U.S. military, United States, USD, war | Leave a comment

Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.

Posted on July 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning. – - – US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing. – Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged bombing, bombs, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, prediction markets, Says Any Attack, strikes, U.S. military, United States, USD, war | 3 Comments

Has BetFair a little part of responsibility in the collapse of the Kieren Fallon trial (which cost British taxpayers Â£950,000)?

Posted on May 22, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair actively report betting that appears to them out of the ordinary. And, if any sport regulator has concerns, then BetFair provide them with additional information. BetFair, of course, has no say in whether a criminal offense has been committed, … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged Acting detective inspector, Australia, BBC, BetFair, British Police, chief, Crown Prosecution Service, Daily Mail, David O'Reilly, Fallon trial, GBP, horce racing, Kieren Fallon, lawyer, London, London Police, Mark Manning, media excerpts, Miles Rodgers, online betting exchanges, prediction markets, Ray Murrihy, senior detective, The Guardian, the Times, United Kingdom | 4 Comments

The Absence of Teams In Production of Blog Journalism

Posted on April 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Justin Wolfers at Freakonomics published the link to an interesting paper, “The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge” [PDF file]: The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge We have used 19.9 million papers over 5 decades … Continue reading →

Posted in Prediction Journalism | Tagged blog, blog author, bloggers, blogging, chief, co-authors, co-bloggers, Journalism, Justin Wolfers, knowledge production, Michael Giberson, prediction markets, Scientific Advisory Board, Steve Levitt, Web convention, WordPress, WordPress administration | Leave a comment

FALLON CASE: BetFair lawyer David O’Reilly is not the man… to say the least.

Posted on December 8, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Guardian: [...] In part, the fault is Betfair’s, for failing to ensure that police investigators understood the meaning of the complex evidence they provided, and for passing pages of irrelevant data to the Crown that provided one of many … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged Andrew Black, Australia, BetFair, British Horseracing Authority, chief, co-founder, Daily Mail, David O'Reilly, Fallon case, Fallon trial, GBP, Kieren Fallon, lawyer, Mark Manning, prediction markets, Ray Murrihy, senior detective, sports prediction, The Guardian, United Kingdom | 1 Comment

Should Google Analytics have the option for webmasters to make the web stats reports public, for all to see?

Posted on October 22, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

I asked that question to Bo Cowgill (the chief of the prediction market group at Google) after reading this New York Times news article (How Many Site Hits? Depends Whoâ€™s Counting.), and here’s what he told me (with permission to … Continue reading →

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged Bo Cowgill, chief, chief of the prediction market group, Google, New York Times, prediction market group, web stats | Leave a comment

Creating a Prediction Market on Inkling for the Women’s World Cup was Easy!

Posted on September 7, 2007 by Michael Giberson

We’ve talked about setting up public markets on Inkling here before. I just set up a market for predicting the winner of the Women’s World Cup 2007 tournament, which is kicking off in China this weekend and wrapping up on … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged chief, China, Chris Masse, Editor, FIFA, FIFA RSS, football, official, World Cup | 1 Comment

OECD Chief: U.S. Likely to Avoid Major Recession.

Posted on September 6, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Wall Street Journal — Static chart: — — Static chart:

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, The Global Economy | Tagged chief, OECD, recession, United States, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

REPORTS OF THE BETCHA.COM DEMISE HAVE BEEN GREATLY EXAGGERATED.

Posted on July 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

[This blog post is cross-posted from Nicholas Jenkins' blog post at Betcha.com.] — Yesterday, the Seattle Post-Intelligencer ran a story entitled “Betting web site’s computers seized.” Within hours, bloggers and other news outlets picked up the story and translated it … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged anti-Internet gambling ban, attorney general, Betcha, chief, Commissioner, deputy commissioner, eBay, Gambling Commission, Gray Bar Hotel, head, judge, Lacey, law enforcement, lawyer, Lee Rousso, Nicholas Jenkins, Nick Jenkins, reading, Rick Herrington, Seattle, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, Washington | Leave a comment

Betcha.com: On Steamroller Justice and Reports of our Demise

Posted on July 11, 2007 by Nick Jenkins

Yesterday, the Seattle Post-Intelligencer ran a story entitled “Betting web site’s computers seized.” Within hours, bloggers and other news outlets picked up the story and translated it into something akin to “Betcha shut down.” Problem: the translation isn’t true. (WARNING: … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged anti-Internet gambling ban, attorney general, Betcha, chief, deputy commissioner, eBay, Gambling Commission, Gray Bar Hotel, head, judge, Lacey, law enforcement, lawyer, Lee Rousso, Nick Jenkins, reading, Rick Herrington, Seattle, the Seattle Post-Intelligencer, Washington | Leave a comment