Tag Archives: Chicago Tribune

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

Will HedgeStreet USA, the hypothetical InTrade USA, and the hypothetical TradeFair USA, be regulated in the future by a merged SEC+CFTC regulatory structure?

Posted on March 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

That sounds like a good prediction market proposal. – As you all know: The SEC regulates the securities markets (which support capital formation). The CFTC regulates the futures markets (which exist to discover prices). The SEC is rules based, meaning … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Tagged Acting Chairman, CFTC, CFTC Acting Chairman Walt Lukken Regarding Department, Chicago Tribune, CME Group, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, D.C., Department of the Treasury, good government solutions, hybrid products, Jason Ruspini, merger, Paulson, SEC, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, The Wall Street Journal, U.S. Department, United States, US Treasury, USD, Walt Lukken, Washington | Leave a comment

The US futures exchanges should not control clearing.

Posted on February 6, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

… says the US DOJ. The Justice Department called for a shake-up of financial-futures exchanges, saying current policies may have inhibited competition. – WSJ $$$ Chicago Tribune FT BW

Posted in Regulations | Tagged Chicago Tribune, clearing, Department of Justice, United States, US futures exchanges | 1 Comment

Five Reasons the Prediction Market Critics Are Wrong.

Posted on January 10, 2008 by Steve Roman

1. It really was an upset â€“ As it has been pointed out elsewhere, the Clinton victory was a surprise to everyone. Favorites can lose. But so what? Ordinarily, thatâ€™s not a market flaw or a reason to doubt the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, accuracy, Chicago Tribune, Clinton, elections, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, France, Justin Wolfers, Le Pen, New Hampshire, Politician, Politics, prediction markets, President, Prime Minister, regulation, Regulations, Steve Sailer, Trader, Truman, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | 3 Comments

2016 Summer Olympics in Chicago: Prediction Markets, anyone??

Posted on April 18, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Next: Chicago won’t have the Olympics in 2016. Next: The Chicago candidacy, which was favored by the prediction markets (and gullible bettors like Ben Shannon), is the one that fared the worst. Next: Why an analyst should assess each newly … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2016 Summer Olympics, accuracy, Bet, bets, betting markets, Bill Barnhart, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, David Perry, event derivative markets, International Olympic Committee, InTrade, IOC, London, Manchester, Olympics, Paris, prediction markets, Russell Andersson, Thomas Rietz, U.K.'s Casino Advisory Panel, United Kingdom, University of Chicago Law School | 1 Comment

Technology Prizes & Prediction Markets

Posted on February 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

ABC7 Futures Market: Will the $25 million dollar reward for developing something that will extract greenhouse gases be handed out in the next 5 years? — Virgin Earth Challenge: The Virgin Earth Challenge is a prize of $25m for whoever … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, History, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged America, British government, Burt Rutan, carrier crafts, chemical industry, Chicago Tribune, food, franc, GBP, John Harrison, Louis Bleriot, Nakamichi SoundSpace 2 MP3 Player (ss-2), Napoleon, New York, Nicolas Appert, Paris, Paul Allen, Peter Diamandis, physical technologies, Richard Branson, Scaled Composites, space travel, SpaceShipOne, the Chicago Tribune, The Daily Mail, USD | 1 Comment

Debunking HSX Alex Costakis’ conspiracy theory

Posted on February 24, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

#1. There’s a story covering Inkling Markets and (not extensively) the corporate prediction markets in the Chicago Tribune. Here’s an interesting excerpt: In the real world, the reason people use markets is to make money. If an outcome is accurately … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry) | Tagged Abbott, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alex Costakis, brand-new Web-based service, chemical compounds, Chicago Tribune, David Pennock, Eric Zitzewitz, FDA, Google, great prediction exchange executive and prediction market consultant, Inkling CEO, inkling markets, internet marketing skills, Justin Wolfers, NewsFutures CEO, Paul Tetlock, pharmaceutical, prediction markets, prediction tools, Professor, Robin Hanson, San Francisco, Stanford, The Hollywood Stock Exchange, using Inkling Markets, web stats, writer, Yahoo! | 5 Comments

CME gobbles CBOT. Good news or bad news for HedgeStreet?

Posted on October 17, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Chicago Tribune – Note: HedgeStreet is partially owned by the CBOE (which is a CBOT subsidiary). Addendum (October 18): JC Kommer corrects me. “CBOT doesn’t own the CBOE; the CBOE is owned by its members; some ex-full members of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Chicago Tribune | Leave a comment

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