Tag Archives: Charles R. Plott
Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.
Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets.
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The Forrester executive summary:
The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, and, as a result, many are now looking to prediction markets — speculative markets in which traders collectively [...]
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers
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Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, Boston Consulting Group, Calgary, California, Canada, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, Client Resource Center, Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, David Perry, David Shahar, Director, EDS, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, Exago, Forrester, France, George Mason University, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Services & HP Labs, IBM, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, KPMG, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Microsoft, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pedro Da Cunha, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Rawls College of Business, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, software for prediction markets, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech University, United States, University of Kansas, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Business School, Virginia, Virtual Specialist, VP Business development, VP R&D, wisdom of crowds, Yahoo!
The best researchers on prediction markets
CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]
Posted in People, Resources - References
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Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager
Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets
Consultants
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Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Adam Siegel — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Nathan Kontny
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NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.)
Emile Servan-Schreiber — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Maurice Balick
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Xpree – (U.S.A.)
Mat Fogarty — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
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HP Services – HP Labs – (U.S.A.)
Predicting the future –with games — Introductory article
Information Dynamics [...]
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Consulting
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Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, American Enterprise Institute, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, BPH Technologies, Calgary, California, Canada, CEO, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, consultancy firms, consultants, Consulting, consulting firms, corporate prediction markets, D.C., David Perry, David Shahar, Director, Durham, economic tools, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, energy, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, George Mason, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Labs, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Jed Christiansen, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, London, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Mikael Edholm, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, North Carolina, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, prediction market consultants, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Raleigh, Robert Hahn, Robert Wilburn, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, Tennessee, United Kingdom, United States, Virginia, VP Business development, VP R&D, Washington
Is the promise of prediction markets in the United States best explored in limited, small stakes markets under a CFTC safe harbor declaration?
I haven’t turned up the latest edition of Science magazine mentioned yesterday by Chris F. Masse, but a version of the Science article “The Promise of Prediction Markets“, is available from the AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies (find link to article on this page).
The first thing of note is that the extensive list [...]
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Politics, Regulations
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Also tagged AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies, American Enterprise Institute, CFTC, Chris F. Masse, Congress, Daniel Kahneman, event derivative markets, event derivatives, hard-core PM, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Shyam Sunder, sports events, United States, USD
HP research scientist Kay-Yut Chen on prediction markets
Kay-Yut Chen
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Publications & Conference Papers
Kay-Yut Chen and Tad Hogg, “Aggregating Diffuse Information with Subgroups”, in the proc. of IADIS E-Commerce Conf, Dec 2004.
Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie Fine and Bernardo Huberman, “Eliminating Public Knowledge Biases in Small Group Predictions”, Management Science, Volume 50, Number 7, pp. 983-994, July 2004.
Kay-Yut Chen, Tad [...]
Posted in Analysis (Meta)
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Also tagged Bernardo Huberman, e-commerce, HP research scientist, Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie Fine, Nathan Wozny, prediction markets, Ren Wu, Tad Hogg
Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets
Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Charles R. Plott, Thomas C. Schelling, [...]
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Regulations
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Also tagged AEI, AEI-Brookings Joint Center, California, California Institute of Technology, Congress, Daniel Kahneman, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Forrest D. Nelson, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, Hal R. Varian, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, Iowa, John O. Ledyard, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth J. Arrow, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Maryland, Michael Gorham, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Pennsylvania, Philip E. Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Robert Forsythe, Robert Hahn, Robert J. Shiller, Robert Litan, Robin Hanson, Saul Levmore, Stanford University, Texas, Thomas C. Schelling, United States, University of California, University of Chicago, University of Iowa, University of Maryland, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, Vernon L. Smith, Yale University
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