Tag Archives: Center for Prediction Markets

The Center for Prediction Markets, the biggest in the Chinese language, will try to call Taiwan’s presidential election on March 22, 2009.

NewsWeek Via research scientist David Pennock of YooPick fame. His Majesty attracts our attention on the fact that the article discusses (briefly) both play money and real money. – Center for Prediction Markets – Taiwan

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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

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Polls Vs. Prediction Markets

- Asia Times: [...] Outperforming Taiwan’s polls shouldn’t be hard. They’re notoriously bad as a forecast of election outcomes. In late 2006, for example, many media polls underrated the pro-independence party’s support – a recurring problem. Taiwan’s prediction markets did … Continue reading

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Taiwain: Center for Prediction Markets – Bingo!

Taiwain: Center for Prediction Markets Via Steve Roman, Taipei Times: The market’s predicted winner of the Taipei mayoral election — Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) candidate Hau Long-bin (???) — was similarly pegged by speculators as earning a vote share that … Continue reading

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