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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
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- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
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- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
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Tag Archives: Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP up, recession probability down
Fret as we all might, the U.S. economy just keeps on growing. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at a 3.9% annual rate in the third quarter. Housing remains in very bad shape, and … Continue reading
Recession probability index rises to 16.9%
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 1.3% in the first quarter of 2007, moving our recession probability index up to 16.9%. This post provides some background on how that … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, The Global Economy
Tagged Bureau of Economic Analysis, California, Emporia Telecom Isoetec IDS, James Hamilton, Marcelle Chauvet, National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, probability law, Professor, professor of economics, San Diego, t - 1, The Bureau of Economic Analysis, United States, University of California
3 Comments
U.S. recession prediction market
— This is from the TradeSports news feed: Contract on US Economy going into Recession Thursday, Jan 4, 2007 The Exchange has listed a contract on the United States economy going into recession during 2007. This contract can be found … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Bureau of Economic Analysis, CEO, Don Luskin, Donald Luskin, executive, John Delaney, media sources, mediocre executive, non-sports prediction markets, prediction markets, second-tier executive, United States, United States Department of Commerce
3 Comments
Recession Contract Proposal
A few days ago, I came across Chris’s question concerning recession prediction: My Question: How would you structure a US recession prediction market? (…without splitting liquidity, I mean.) My initial response to this was: A recession is defined as two … Continue reading