Tag Archives: Britain’s Got Talent 2009
The prediction markets chalk another one up, as Susan Boyle is sent packing.
I have an ongoing disagreement with Prof Panos about how to report a set of expired prediction markets. He claims that one should report “the historic average of similar markets”. That’s important but not urgent. First thing is to report whether one prediction market of interest has failed or succeeded. I have explained that that [...]
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
|
Also tagged accuracy, betting markets, Britain's Got Talent 2009, event derivative markets, expiry, HubDub, InTrade, marketing approach, Panos Ipeirotis, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, quoting the prediction markets, reporting on prediction markets, Science, scientific approach, statistical and probabilistic approach, Susan Boyle
Recent Comments