Tag Archives: Boston

GroupOn is a lemon. — [LINKS]

I blogged negatively on GroupOn some time ago. This morning, I noticed a bunch of damning reports on the Chicago-based startup. UPDATE: Fortune. + More.

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Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine are speaking at Enterprise 2.0 in Boston.

Enterprise 2.0 – Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A. – 2009-06-22~25 The Promise of Prediction Markets [*] #e2conf33 When will the product really ship? How much will we sell next year? While accurate forecasts are a cornerstone of a well-run enterprise, the methods … Continue reading

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Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence @ MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A. – 2008-05-02 In passing, I say HELLO to our readers from the MIT and the Boston area. -

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My understanding was that she wasn’t Treasury secretary in the Clinton administration, so I don’t know exactly what experiences she’s claiming.

Barak Obama on Hillary Clinton. Everybody laughed. New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd (in a November column) continues: Hillary [Clinton] did not show good judgment in her areas of influence — the legal fiefdom, health care and running oppo-campaigns against … Continue reading

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Eric Zitzewitz’s Dartmouth College is in New Hampshire, not in Massachusetts.

My previous blog post (on the Massachusetts governor’s bill against Internet gambling and betting) referred to the fact that Eric Zitzewitz was (at least, briefly) a Boston resident, as I understand it from his writings. Dartmouth College professor Eric W. … Continue reading

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Massachusetts governor wants to send the TradeSports-InTrade traders to jail, and that includes Dartmouth College professor Eric Zitzewitz.

Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick: Why is gambling in a casino OK and gambling on the Internet is not? Makes no sense at all. The Boston Globe: Even as Governor Deval Patrick seeks to license three resort casinos in Massachusetts, he … Continue reading

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BASEBALL: Boston’s Red Sox wins the World Series… AGAIN.

New York Times Sorry, the chart above is too big for some of my readers…

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Combinatorial markets for independent events: Flawed use of approach hampers price discovery

“Which teams will play in the 2007 World Series?“ An experienced market manager has created a market asking this question at the Inkling public markets, setting it up at the end of the regular season and listing contracts in each … Continue reading

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BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate change, but was too shy in its prediction of the amplitude of the interest rate change.

BetFair predicted: -0,25 The Fed decided: -0.50 That’s for the absolute accuracy. Now, what counts is the relative accuracy —the comparison between the prediction made by BetFair and the predictions made by the financial markets experts. I see that the … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment