Tag Archives: Barak Obama

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the constitutionality of Barak Obama’s health care law – [VIDEO]

Posted on February 14, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

TAKEAWAY: Time is of the essence.

Posted in Politics | Tagged Barak Obama, constitutionality, health care law, health care reform, laws, Politics, Ruth Ginsburg, US constitution, US politics | Leave a comment

Prediction markets are forecasting tools of convenience that feed on advanced indicators.

Posted on January 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Why were the political prediction markets so wrong about Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire? …asks Slate’s Daniel Gross —via Mister Usability (Alex Kirtland), who needs to go and get his own gravatar. So, I’ve been watching the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Alex Kirtland, Barack Obama, Barak Obama, BetFair, business professor, Chris Masse, Dan Gross, Daniel Gross, Donald Luskin, economist, Emile Servan-Scheiber, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, experts, failure, fiasco, forecasting tool of convenience, Forrest Nelson, France, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Iowa, Justin Wolfers, Markos Moulitsas, Michael Giberson, New Hampshire, NewsFutures, Niall O'Connor, Pennsylvania, Politics, polls, prediction markets, pundits, Robin Hanson, success, The Netherlands, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, ultimate forecasting tool, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, western Europe | 3 Comments

2008′s Hillary Clinton = 2004′s Howard Dean

Posted on January 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

2008 US presidential elections Source: Dynamic, compound prediction market charts from InTrade — – Yahoo! News US Political Dashboard – Prediction Market Dashboard

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barak Obama, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, InTrade, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Politics, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

My understanding was that she wasnâ€™t Treasury secretary in the Clinton administration, so I donâ€™t know exactly what experiences sheâ€™s claiming.

Posted on December 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Barak Obama on Hillary Clinton. Everybody laughed. New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd (in a November column) continues: Hillary [Clinton] did not show good judgment in her areas of influence â€” the legal fiefdom, health care and running oppo-campaigns against … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Humor, Politics | Tagged Barak Obama, Boston, Clinton administration, columnist, Dianne Feinstein, Hillary Clinton, Joan Di Cola, lawyer, Madam Speaker, Maureen Dowd, mayor, Nancy Pelosi, New York Times, President, San Francisco, Senator, The Wall Street Journal, treasury secretary, United States, US political elections, US President, US presidential elections, Yale | Leave a comment

RE: Alleged manipulation of the Hillary Clinton event derivative at InTrade-TradeSports

Posted on August 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Does a rich trader, highly partisan and highly convinced that Hillary will make it, care about the price? If he/she has persuaded himself/herself that the expiry will bring $100, then buying the Hillary Clinton event derivative at $40 will yield … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged Barak Obama, Daily Kos, DAMN MANIPULATOR, Eric Zitzewitz, founder, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Iraq, Justin Wolfers, Kos, Markos Moulitsas Zuniga, next president, prediction markets, President, rich trader, United States, USD, WHO, World Health Organization | Leave a comment

Alex Forshaw, Barak Obama fanboy

Posted on April 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Politics | Tagged Alex Forshaw, Barak Obama, Matt Drudge | 4 Comments

US Presidential Politics: The Jason Ruspini Incoherence

Posted on March 18, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Brain, in a comment on Marginal Revolution: I would begin to sell Obama if he approaches 40% on the Intrade nomination market. Buying the Giuliani and McCain nomination contracts for 67% combined sounds like a good bet here. Why … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls) | Tagged Barak Obama, Hillary Clinton, Tyler Cowen | 7 Comments

New York Times on prediction markets — REDUX

Posted on February 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

- New York Times. – Justin Wolfers Interview – by New York Times – (MP3) – 2007-02-14 JOURNALO: InTrade = betting market JUSTIN WOLFERS: InTrade = Las Vegas bookie meets New York Stock Exchange. prediction markets: strong track record (example: … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta) | Tagged Al Gore, Andrew Leigh, Barak Obama, general election candidate, Hillary Clinton, information aggregation devices, Justin Wolfers, Justin Wolfers Interview, Las Vegas, MP3, New York Stock Exchange, New York Times, prediction markets, REDUX - New York Times | 4 Comments

The Chicago Bears didn’t go all the way, Mister Barak Obama.

Posted on February 5, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Expired TradeSports data: — Expired data for BetFair are not available —BetFair is retarded on that one. — Alas, I haven’t compared the money matched on both exchanges —did someone do it? I expect BetFair to come with a superior … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Barak Obama, Chicago Bears, Super Bowl | Leave a comment

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