Tag Archives: avian influenza

ALL our real-money prediction exchanges (betting exchanges) have a play-money ground.

Posted on April 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair – (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) BetFair Play For Fun Only English Soccer TradeSports – (The Netherlands Antilles) Play-Money TradeSports — PredictionX — Launched in February 2006. InTrade – (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.) FT Predict — (play-money InTrade with … Continue reading →

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Iowa Electronic Markets: Avian Influenza Prediction Markets + Influenza Prediction Markets

Posted on March 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Iowa Electronic Markets: Avian Influenza Prediction Markets Another global influenza pandemic, similar to the 1918 occurrence, is considered inevitable by many experts. Recent cases of avian influenza (H5N1) in birds and humans have led many to fear that this strain … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Can the Many forecast better than the Few in the pharmaceutical industry?

Posted on March 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Can the Many forecast better than the Few in the pharmaceutical industry? – (PDF) – by Joseph Miles – 2007-02-XX Professor Robin Hanson asserts that, overall, prediction markets done well compared with every other traditional forecast and individual expert. [...] … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment