Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: average Intrade trader

Intrade, with carry

For years now, a criticism of Intrade has been its lack of a positive carry in long-term markets. In contrast to regulated futures exchanges, Intrade does not pay out interest on deposits to most traders. While understandable, this discourages liquidity and can skew prices near extremes as future winnings are discounted, exaggerating any favorite/longshot bias.
If [...]

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