Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Associated Press

The John Edwards Non-Affair: How on Earth did they get this photo, what does this photo prove, and which prediction markets should we trade on to profit from this alledged scandal?

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- Will CNN report on the John Edwards/mistress/baby rumors? | Hubdub
- Will a supposed affair between John Edwards and Rielle Hunter be confirmed? | Hubdub
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UPDATE: The Charlotte Observer
UPDATE: National Review
UPDATE: Google’s cached webpages of the National Enquirer about John Edwards – Click on “Cached”.
UPDATE: Video

Edwards infidelity
envoyé par dollarsandsense123
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UPDATE: UPI + Daily Mail + National Review
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UPDATE: [...]

Is it time to buy some Michael Bloomberg event derivatives?

Associated Press:
[Michael] Bloomberg has been quietly polling and analyzing voting trends in every state as he contemplates launching a campaign. On Tuesday, his supporters launched a 50-state petition drive in an attempt to “draft” him into the race.
Go reading the whole piece, for more. At first glance, it seems to me that he wants to [...]

InTrade-TradeSports and BetFair-TradeFair are barred from advertising on Google, Yahoo! and MicroSoft’s networks of websites.

Via Jason Ruspini and Daniel Horowitz, The Associated Press & Reuters.
But I will remark that Google Ads serve both InTrade and TradeSports. [I don't mind. Just a remark.]

The European Commission dealt a blow to European online gaming companies Monday when it accepted a U.S. offer of openings in other sectors as compensation for closing the U.S. gambling market to foreign firms.

Reuters
Bloomberg
Associated Press
NEXT: Finally, someone tells the libertarian truth on the US ban against Internet betting and gambling.

Could prediction markets help our society to become more truthful?

[...] [About the Iraq war] – “There is no question that America is living a nightmare with no end in sight,” retired Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez told a convention of military journalists on Friday. [...]
But why didn’t he come forward before, then?
[...] Asked why he did not speak out about his concerns, Sanchez said general [...]

Watergate-famed Carl Bernstein wants his fellow journalists to work over time on stories.

Associated Press:
[...] [Carl] Bernstein then criticized reporters for rushing from event to event and not taking the time to do in-depth stories — even if they had to work off the clock. “If you’re going to do in-depth stories, you’re going to do them on your own time,” Bernstein said. He also urged reporters to [...]

Betting on a date when a new government is formed is illegal in Belgium.

Via Niall O’Connor of Betting Market, the Associated Press (and International Herald Tribune).

The other Hanson who will change our future.

by Associated Press Photo / Tony Gutierrez
David Hanson, right, holds his son Zeno on his lap as the two look at Hansons’ Robot creation, also named, Zeno, at his office in Richardson, Texas, Thursday, Sept. 6, 2007.

InTrade expired the Larry Craig prediction market too early.

Scroll down the whole story and judge by yourself, folks.

New York Times:
“As he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on Sept. 30,” Mr. [Dan Whiting, a spokesman for Mr. Craig] said in a statement. “However, he is fighting these charges, and should he be cleared before then, he may, and I emphasize may, [...]

Which US president wannabe will drop off the race?

Associated Press reports that Republican Tommy Thompson is out of the race. InTrade-TradeSports omitted to list his event derivative, in the list below.

Spot the “last” column:

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