Tag Archives: Anthony Townsend

Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend does not understand prediction markets.

Posted on June 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

His totally shallow analysis is here. Not worth reading. Not worth blogging about.

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend on internal prediction markets

Posted on April 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

From his Confab notes: I was both buoyed and dismayed by what I learned at this event. Buoyed by how much potential there is in prediction markets for improving decision-making and forecasting. Dismayed by how shallow the body of knowledge … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Cases, Consulting | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Prediction markets compete against GROUPS of experts.

Posted on December 18, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

From Anthony Townsend’s Confab notes (cited for the third time, I should pay him royalties): But as Adam Siegel, IFTF’s partner at Inkling pointed out, there are 3 main reasons why prediction markets fail: #1. People don’t understand the concept … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend on internal prediction markets

Posted on December 18, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

From his Confab notes: I was both buoyed and dismayed by what I learned at this event. Buoyed by how much potential there is in prediction markets for improving decision-making and forecasting. Dismayed by how shallow the body of knowledge … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Cases, Consulting | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment