Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Andy Rooney

The Myth Of Creativity – Innovation matters, but releasing your inner bohemian isn’t the answer.

Robin Hanson:
Creativity is in. Seminars teach employees to “think outside the box” and release their inner Picasso. Managers preach innovation, and today’s rich and powerful prefer to describe themselves as creative heroes, valiantly besting the naysayers to bring us the radical changes that add up to progress. Richard Florida’s best-selling The Rise of the Creative [...]

Is GMU professor Robin Hanson an inventor, an innovator, or… a complete loser??

My title is provocative.
Robin Hanson has posted this comment:
I’ll take credit for creating some ideas the world has found useful, but I have completely failed both the market test and the academic test. That is, I can’t convince any business to let me join them to deliver my ideas at scale, and I can’t convince [...]

Are Chris Masse’s Ideas Crazy ENOUGH For Google??

Bloomberg:
Google Inc. looks for ideas that are “really crazy” when sizing up potential purchases, the Internet company’s top dealmaker said. “We look at everything very carefully,” Salman Ullah, Google’s director of corporate development, said yesterday in a speech at a meeting of the Los Angeles Venture Association. “The really crazy ones do really well.” [...] [...]

CBS News Andy Rooney: Let’s Have A Smart Board.

I proposed a new institution, “The Open Institute of Prediction Markets“. I’d like you to take two minutes to read Andy Rooney’s proposal. It has nothing to do with prediction markets, as that wet blanket of Bo Cowgill will quickly notice, but the idea is to take a look at how such a proposal is [...]

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