Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Amy Lamare

Which HSX employee hides cowardly behind a pseudonym in the PopSci’s PPX forum??

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 19, 2007 — Leave a Comment

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PopSci’s PPX forum:
PopSciAdmin
06-20-2007, 02:43 PM
Prediction markets work when they operate like a stock market.
beebee is spot on. Even those traders who think they’re cleverly outwitting the market are in fact doing exactly what the market requires to produce accurate probability data.
Only when many players collude to game the system do markets behave unexpectedly, which is [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

The Hollywood Stock Exchange in the news

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 11, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Rolling In The (Virtual) Dough – The Hollywood Stock Exchange Is Played By Gamers And Movie Lovers Alike – 2007-05-11
[...] With 25,000 hits a day, HSX is the Internet’s leading virtual market and a burgeoning source for big-studio market research. [...]
Hmmmm… The Midas Oracle .ORG server web stats says this:
Analyzed requests from Fri, Sep 15 [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Market Trading, Midas Oracle Statistics | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

US presidential election prediction markets: HedgeStreet or Hollywood Stock Exchange??

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 2, 2007 — 1 Comment

Since he heard from Deep Throat (here, on Midas Oracle) that the US CFTC has already given its green light to US presidential election derivatives, Jason “The Brain” Ruspini is pulling for HedgeStreet to organize these prediction markets. I concur. (Previous: HedgeStreet had a major layoff last week.)
I have a suggestion for the Hollywood [...]

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Also tagged , , , , ,

Oscars 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange – Bingo!

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 27, 2007 — 2 Comments

HSX Amy Lamare:
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX.com) Traders correctly picked 7 out of 8 Top Category Oscar Winners to continue its stellar record.
Los Angeles, California, February 26, 2007 -
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), announced a spectacular 88% success rate for picking this year’s Oscar winners. The world’s longest continuously operating commercial prediction market and popular online game [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

James Bond’s Casino Royal and Mel Gibson’s Apocalypto…

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 11, 2006 — Leave a Comment

… are doing great, according to this HSX box office table.
Does anybody know why HSX’s Amy Lamare refused to chronicle Apocalypto? Retaliation against his anti-semitic rant? Other editorial choice? Lack of time?
Photos

Posted in Business | Also tagged , ,

A prediction exchange should also be a content producer.

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 4, 2006 — Leave a Comment

#1. Play-money Hollywood Stock Exchange is the most successful US-based prediction exchange. Thanks to Amy Lamare and other writers, HSX produces great movie-review content.
#2. Real-money BetFair is the most successful UK-based prediction exchange (a.k.a. betting exchange). It has just bought out TimeForm, a source of facts and opinions on British horse racing.
CONCLUSION: To be popular, [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged , , ,

Daniel Craig “actually comes closer to the image of Bond in Fleming’s novels that anyone since Sean Connery”…

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 16, 2006 — Leave a Comment

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- HSX Amy Lamare on Casino Royale
- Casino Royale “security” at HSX

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , ,

Marketing vertical play-money prediction exchanges (industry-focused, I mean)

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 24, 2006 — Leave a Comment

HSX is the only vertical play-money prediction markets that has had a viral success. Probably for two reasons. Number one, everybody likes a good movie or chatting about Hollywood stars (so we’re almost talking horizontality, here). Number two, Amy Lamare and company are doing a great job of feeding their Web-based community. Creating a Web-based [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged , , , , ,

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