Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: American Magazine

The best research papers on prediction markets

As seen by Andreas Graefe…
IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets
Research Papers
Basics
Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g.
- Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets for Business Forecasting, Management Science, 49, 1310-1326. [Full text]
- Wolfers, J. & Zitzewitz, E. (2006). Prediction Markets in [...]

When Markets Beat The Polls – Scientific American Magazine

Via Mat Fogarty of Xpree (an innovative firm providing software for enterprise prediction markets), the Scientific American magazine on prediction markets –”When Markets Beat the Polls”.
Ask me by e-mail to get a copy of the PDF file.
Abstract:
When Markets Beat the Polls; March 2008; Scientific American Magazine; by Gary Stix; 8 Page(s)
In late March 1988 three [...]

When Markets Beat The Polls – Scientific American Magazine

Abstract:
When Markets Beat the Polls; March 2008; Scientific American Magazine; by Gary Stix; 8 Page(s)
In late March 1988 three economists from the University of Iowa were nursing beers at a local hangout in Iowa City, when conversation turned to the news of the day. Jesse Jackson had captured 55 percent of the votes in the [...]

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