Tag Archives: Alaska

Collecting bits and pieces of information, and aggregating it, so we can understand what people know.

Posted on May 13, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Charles Plott has nailed it. – I would lay out this dichotomy: Some of our academics, consultants, and exchange executives have sold the prediction markets as the ultimate forecasting tool —which is true, but people translated that as “this is … Continue reading →

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2006-2007 Stanley Cup prediction markets

Posted on April 10, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

On AK’s blog post: #1. Prediction market management requires a dual expertise: prediction market expertise + expertise in the field covered by the event derivative (here, sports). In this case, the prediction exchanges would be better off taking advice from … Continue reading →

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Most people don’t know how to trade.

Posted on February 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The truism is from Alex Kirtland at Usable Markets —not “useable markets”, as spelled by Jed C. on his blog (but clever-guy AK hedged against domain name misspellings). Could it be that an exchange executive’s main purpose is to focus … Continue reading →

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The Dems will capture the US House and the GOP will stay in control of the US Senate. Period.

Posted on October 18, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Can Congressional Republicans Score a Half-Victory? – [InTrade Political Newsletter] – by Perry Eidelbus – 2006-10-18 Also, that contract is only an overall prediction. Don Luskin pointed out to me last week that he looked at the individual contracts for … Continue reading →

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