<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; aggregated expected probabilities</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.midasoracle.org/tag/aggregated-expected-probabilities/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.midasoracle.org</link>
	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2012 10:14:57 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
	<atom:link rel='hub' href='http://www.midasoracle.org/?pushpress=hub'/>
		<item>
		<title>Don&#8217;t event derivative prices represent aggregated expected probabilities, rather?</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/02/interpreting-prices-as-probabilities/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/02/interpreting-prices-as-probabilities/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Nov 2008 10:54:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All Best Posts Ever]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis (Meta)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Explainers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasting (Science & Practice)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aggregated expected probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivative markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivative prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imputed likelihood of uncertain events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interpreting prices as probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[InTrade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Ruspini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LoudNotes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preceived likelihood of uncertain events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction market prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probabilities]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=11040</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[InTrade CEO&#8217;s poodle got corrected on the concept of interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities: - - LoudNotes, please contact me, I do have a vacant blog author slot to fill: cfm &#124;-at-&#124; midasoracle &#124;.&#124;-com-&#124; chrisfmasse &#124;-at-&#124; gmail &#124;.&#124;-com-&#124; -]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>InTrade CEO&#8217;s poodle got corrected on the concept of interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities:</strong></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/misc/blog/#ruspini_1"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-11039" title="corrected" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/corrected.jpg" alt="" width="577" height="560" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><strong>LoudNotes, please contact me, I do have <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/authors/how-to-be-an-author/">a vacant blog author slot to fill</a>:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li> cfm |-at-| midasoracle |.|-com-|</li>
<li>chrisfmasse |-at-| gmail |.|-com-|</li>
</ul>
<p>-</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/02/interpreting-prices-as-probabilities/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

