Tag Archives: adoption
If prediction market advocates are so confident, why aren’t their claims more specific?
Jed Christiansen was kind enough to reply to my post: If prediction markets are so good at forecasting, why aren’t they being used much more widely?
#1. (Public or enterprise) traders mainly bring to the exchange some bits of information they acquired from some official or semi-official sources. The enterprise traders bring in the information they [...]
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Consulting, Forecasting (Science & Practice)
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Also tagged corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), internal prediction markets, Jed Christiansen, prediction markets, private prediction markets, social utility
If prediction markets are so good at forecasting, why aren’t they being used much more widely?
Jed Christiansen has an awesome industry analysis … which I will disagree with.
Number one, I don’t understand why information aggregation would be a “bottom-up” approach (as opposed to “top-down”). Our traders bring bits of information to the market —but these bits of information were originally produced by the traditional sources (news, political polls, [...]
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Consulting, Forecasting (Science & Practice)
|
Also tagged corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), internal prediction markets, Jed Christiansen, prediction markets, private prediction markets, social utility
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