Tag Archives: adoption

If prediction market advocates are so confident, why aren’t their claims more specific?

Jed Christiansen was kind enough to reply to my post: If prediction markets are so good at forecasting, why aren’t they being used much more widely? #1. (Public or enterprise) traders mainly bring to the exchange some bits of information … Continue reading

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If prediction markets are so good at forecasting, why aren’t they being used much more widely?

Jed Christiansen has an awesome industry analysis … which I will disagree with. Number one, I don’t understand why information aggregation would be a “bottom-up” approach (as opposed to “top-down”). Our traders bring bits of information to the market —but … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Consulting, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 13 Comments