Midas Oracle .ORG » 2009 New Jersey gubernatorial race http://www.midasoracle.org Prediction Markets, etc. Tue, 14 Feb 2012 10:14:57 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Race: Was Nate Silver’s prediction more accurate than InTrade’s? http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/11/04/2009-new-jersey-gubernatorial-race-christie-corzine/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/11/04/2009-new-jersey-gubernatorial-race-christie-corzine/#comments Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:19:49 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=18936 Nate Silver‘s prediction (November 2, 2009): “I’d make Christie about the 4:3 favorite.”

[ UPDATE: Nate Silver's prediction post-mortem on the 2009 US elections.]

You can see that days before Elections 2009, InTrade was too heavy on Corzine:

nj-gov2009-rep

nj-gov2009-dem

US_Elections_2009

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