Midas Oracle .ORG » Mechanism Designs

A Multi-Agent Prediction Market Based on Boolean Network Evolution — [PAPER]

Chris F. Masse — Tue, 13 Sep 2011 09:53:35 +0000

A Multi-Agent Prediction Market Based on Boolean Network Evolution – PDF file.

The betting revolution in horse racing — [VIDEO]

Chris F. Masse — Sat, 30 Jul 2011 10:00:47 +0000

CNN.

Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]

Chris F. Masse — Tue, 10 May 2011 13:04:34 +0000

http://corporate.crowdpark.com/

http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/

David Pennock on Predictalot — [LINK]

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 25 Mar 2011 09:03:45 +0000

… in Freakonomics.

PREDICTALOT IS THE LARGEST PREDICTION EXCHANGE CREATED BY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES (9.2 QUINTILLION). — [LINK]

Chris F. Masse — Tue, 15 Mar 2011 10:09:38 +0000

http://predictalot.yahoo.com/

Predictalot on FaceBook.

David Pennock:

I believe it’s the largest prediction market created by number of outcomes (9.2 quintillion). We’re approximating a #P-hard problem to get the odds. More here. I believe v0.3 is faster and easier to use and with better social features.

Trading on Inkling’s prediction markets – [VIDEO]

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 20 Jan 2011 18:12:15 +0000

More.

David Pennock wants you to believe that InTrade needs Robin Hanson’s automated market maker.

Chris F. Masse — Sat, 10 Jul 2010 07:45:42 +0000

“Our market maker automatically adjusts its level of liquidity depending on trading volume. Prices start off very responsive and, as volume increases, liquidity grows, obviating the need to somehow guess the ‘right’ level before trading even starts.”

Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot

David Pennock — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 15:21:49 +0000

Why should you try Predictalot?

Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.
Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella?
Economists: Play with a true combinatorial prediction market with 9.2 quintillion outcomes and a single pool of liquidity, unlike almost any other of today’s financial and prediction markets.
Geeks: Ponder some of the interesting computer science challenges, including approximating #P-hard problems and an eerily similar sampling problem as faced by physicists.
Everybody’s doing it.
Barack Obama might do it, according to VentureBeat on NYTimes.com: “President Barack Obama will likely be busy this week [but]… maybe heâ€™ll be able to sneak a peek at Predictalot on his BlackBerry between meetings.”

Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 05 Mar 2010 19:36:37 +0000

Predictalot

David Pennock explains Predictalot.

The Prediction Market Police

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 05:32:16 +0000

I should have listened to Panos Ipeirotis…!!!…