“Our market maker automatically adjusts its level of liquidity depending on trading volume. Prices start off very responsive and, as volume increases, liquidity grows, obviating the need to somehow guess the ‘right’ level before trading even starts.”

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Trading, Mechanism Designs, Research, Software | Tagged automated market maker, automated market makers, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Pennock, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, software for prediction markets | 1 Comment

Movie business person will confess to Max Keiser that he/she traded on insider information.

Posted on April 16, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Stay tuned.

Posted in Business, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Trading | Tagged betting markets, Cantor Exchange, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hollywood, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, Max Keiser, movie business, movie industry, movies, prediction markets | Leave a comment

The sudden dip in March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market was an intentional coup.

Posted on March 25, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s the latest discussion.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, InTrade, ObamaCare, Politics, prediction markets, US politics, wagers, waging | Leave a comment

Allegedly, an idiot pressed the wrong button on March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market. Do you buy it?

Posted on March 24, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Marcus Shea: Hereâ€™s the most likely scenario as to what happened here: Somebody had a decent short position. Say they had about 65 shares (the volume bars indicate that this was likely a < 100 share transaction, ie, < $5 … Continue reading →

Does InTrade participate on its 2012 Republication Nomination prediction markets?

Posted on March 23, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

A mysterious InTrade forum user (could be a trader or could be John Delaney) has posted this: ***** Newbie Joined: 24/01/2010 15:58:35 Messages: 1 Original thread at midasoracle.org: So the actor has to a) not care about the transaction fee … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, prediction markets | 2 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?

Posted on March 19, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

One (anonymous) InTrade trader: I am utterly convinced Intrade participates in its own markets. Every few hours some kind of API hits the bids on the GOP 2012 nomination contract when the bids sum to more 100. It will even … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Trading | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, prediction markets | 2 Comments

PROVEN AND DOCUMENTED: Joe Weisenthal is drunken with his own manipulation paranoia.

Posted on March 11, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Joe is going off the deep end. Market noises are now interpreted as the intergalactic battle between the pro-HCR and the anti-HCR, who are both seeking to manipulate the InTrade prediction markets. No evidence whatsoever is displayed. P.S: I am … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism | Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics | 2 Comments

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