Category Archives: Market Makers (Automated)

Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]

http://corporate.crowdpark.com/ http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/

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Trading on Inkling’s prediction markets – [VIDEO]

More.

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David Pennock wants you to believe that InTrade needs Robin Hanson’s automated market maker.

“Our market maker automatically adjusts its level of liquidity depending on trading volume. Prices start off very responsive and, as volume increases, liquidity grows, obviating the need to somehow guess the ‘right’ level before trading even starts.”

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What’s different about Predictalot?

A predictalot user asked: What’s the difference between predict a lot y Bolsa de predicciones? they have the same things or at least very similar. ?Are you the same? They have predictions, groups, events etc. the only difference is the … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Market Prices & Probabilities, Research | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Does InTrade participate on its 2012 Republication Nomination prediction markets?

A mysterious InTrade forum user (could be a trader or could be John Delaney) has posted this: ***** Newbie Joined: 24/01/2010 15:58:35 Messages: 1 Original thread at midasoracle.org: So the actor has to a) not care about the transaction fee … Continue reading

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?

One (anonymous) InTrade trader: I am utterly convinced Intrade participates in its own markets. Every few hours some kind of API hits the bids on the GOP 2012 nomination contract when the bids sum to more 100. It will even … Continue reading

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Trading | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot

Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella? Economists: Play with a true combinatorial … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs, Research, Software, Sports | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)

Predictalot David Pennock explains Predictalot.

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

How the iPredict market maker works

How the iPredict market maker works

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CrowdCast = market mechanism = binary spreads with a market maker

Leslie Fine (CrowdCast Chief Scientist) to me: Actually, our mechanism is a market, it’s just not a stock market. We use an automated market maker to efficiently price every bet, adjust crowd beliefs, and price an interim sell. In essence, … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Collective Forecasting, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments