Category Archives: Market Contract Statements

The InTrade crisis deepens as their #1 fanboy calls for unwinding all trades on the debt ceiling prediction market — [SCANDAL]

Posted on August 3, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Previously: Post-Delaney InTrade experiences turmoil related to the debt ceiling prediction market. — [CHART + LINK] As I said many times, Carl Wolfenden is an incompetent, and all the economists advertising InTrade on their blogs and in the media are … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged betting markets, debt, debt ceiling, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets, scandal, US public debt | Leave a comment

Post-Delaney InTrade experiences turmoil related to the debt ceiling prediction market. — [CHART + LINK]

Posted on August 2, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

37 pages (!!) on the InTrade message board. Once again, one can question the professionalism of the InTrade execs and the usefulness of the prediction markets.

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged betting markets, debt, debt ceiling, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets, US public debt | Leave a comment

InTrade floats Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s life. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

Posted on May 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade: New Prediction Market: Dominique Strauss-Kahn Tuesday, May 17, 2011 On May 16th 2011 Dominique Strauss-Kahn appeared in New York City Criminal Court and was charged with two counts of a criminal sexual act in the first degree , first-degree … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Genesis | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, contracts, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, DSK, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasts, France, French politics, horny chimpazee, I.M.F., IMF chief, International Monetary Fund, InTrade, politicians, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, rutting chimpazee, Tristane Banon, world politics | Leave a comment

Idiots believe in earthquake prediction markets. — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Posted on March 12, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

That’s how you spot them: They would believe in anything. [*] There can’t be any usefulness in earthquake prediction markets since science does not give us any leading indicators. (Assessing the risk of a nuclear plant melting is another issue.) … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, earthquake, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasts, Japan, prediction markets, Predictions, quakes | Leave a comment

Justin Wolfers didn’t inform the Freakonomics readers about InTrade’s mistake related to the contract statements of the ‘dictator departure markets’. – [RANT]

Posted on February 23, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Justin Wolfers, Robin Hanson, James Surowiecki, John Stossel and the Wall Street Journal diarists [*] are not motivated by the love of the truth and the defense of the traders. They never say a word about the dark face of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged bets, Betting, betting dispute, betting markets, bettors, contract statements, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, James Surowiecki, John Stossel, Justin Wolfers, prediction market dispute, prediction market statements, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

InTrade’s Brand-New Rules for Departure Markets – [MARKET CONTRACT STATEMENTS]

Posted on February 18, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade: IMPORTANT: Rules for Departure Markets Friday, Feb 18, 2011 As detailed in a previous Exchange News item, we have launched a new series of markets for the departure of various leaders in the Middle East region. These contracts are … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, Egypt, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hosni Mubarak, InTrade, John Delaney, Mubarak, prediction markets | Leave a comment

InTrade CEO John Delaney apologizes for the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction market scandal. – {Mubarak Market Unwound} – [VICTORY]

Posted on February 8, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Chris Van Niekerk (yesterday, February 7, 2011): John, I am calling on you to fix this problem before the story spreads outside of this forum [*] and takes on a life of its own. [*] Last week, Midas Oracle offered … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, Carl Wolfenden, Chris Van Niekerk, court, Egypt, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, fraud, Germany, Hosni Mubarak, idiots, incapables, incompetents, InTrade, John Delaney, justice, morons, Mubarak, prediction markets, suing, suits | Leave a comment

InTrade try to clean up the mess, without acknowledging their mistake. – [OPINION]

Posted on February 7, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

“Intrade has listed a number of new markets related to the actual departure of President Mubarak.” What a shame. InTrade is managed by a bunch of incapable incompetents. FINAL UPDATE: InTrade CEO John Delaney apologizes for the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Genesis, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, diplomacy, Egypt, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hosni Mubarak, Politics, prediction markets, President Mubarak, world politics | Leave a comment

Big trader furious at how InTrade settled the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction markets (even though the Egyptian dictator is still in power, at publication time) is suing their pants off using the German justice system as a springboard to get these Irish morons (namely John Delaney and Carl Wolfenden) to reckon their mistake. – [QUOTES]

Posted on February 4, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Chris Van Niekerk: Well, I have come to the end of my wits here. This is very sad. The reputation of a business such as Intrade is the lifeblood of this type of operation. This sort of arbitrary expiry does … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, Carl Wolfenden, Chris Van Niekerk, court, Egypt, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, fraud, Germany, Hosni Mubarak, idiots, incapables, incompetents, InTrade, John Delaney, justice, morons, Mubarak, prediction markets, suing, suits | Leave a comment

InTrade has just settled their ‘Mubarak Departure’ contracts (even though the Egyptian dictator is still at the helm of the country, at publication time). – #controversy – [CHARTS]

Posted on February 2, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade has just settled the February and June contracts. Read it here. – “Intrade Market on Mubarak to depart Settled.” – Al-Jazeera: “Mubarak vows to finish term.” UPDATE: Please read Mike Linksvayer’s comment, just below. And here’s the link to … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, diplomacy, Egypt, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hosni Mubarak, Politics, prediction markets, President Mubarak, world politics | 2 Comments

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