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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Fiction</title>
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	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
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		<title>Apocalypto &#8212; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/08/28/apocalypto-video/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/08/28/apocalypto-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2011 17:20:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Films - Movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apocalypto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[film]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[films]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>

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		<title>Wall Street 2: Money Never Sleeps. &#8211;&gt; September 24, 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/03/13/wall-street-2-money-never-sleeps-september-24-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/03/13/wall-street-2-money-never-sleeps-september-24-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 11:14:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Prices & Probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions - Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cantor Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivative markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gordon Gekko]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hollywood Stock Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HSX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Douglas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movie box office]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oliver Stone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=20705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Full of clichÃ©s? Wall Street 2 @ HSX &#8211;> Quite high flying. The first trailer is hilarious: About Wall Street 2: Wall Street 1: Frank Sinatra, &#8220;Fly Me To The Moon&#8221;:]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2010/02/19/wall-street-2-trailer-its-about-the-cliche/">Full of clichÃ©s?</a></p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wall_Street_2"><img src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Wall_Street-_Money_Never_Sleeps_film.jpg" alt="" title="Wall_Street-_Money_Never_Sleeps_film" width="299" height="443" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-20706" /></a></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.hsx.com/security/view/WALS2">Wall Street 2 @ HSX</a></strong> &#8211;> Quite high flying.</p>
<p><strong>The first trailer is hilarious:</strong></p>
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<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/lPCSAAtyLW8&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/lPCSAAtyLW8&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p>About Wall Street 2:</p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/jVSiQnhzieQ&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/jVSiQnhzieQ&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/uqR-7DrtC6Y&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/uqR-7DrtC6Y&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/-sWQGZdd9_0&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/-sWQGZdd9_0&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="505"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/EbvZMrIvIf4&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/EbvZMrIvIf4&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="505"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/jxdp9rl7XpY&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/jxdp9rl7XpY&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/SgdAghZVB0U&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/SgdAghZVB0U&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object></p>
<p>Wall Street 1:</p>
<p><object width="640" height="505"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/FCctqbRrsBQ&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/FCctqbRrsBQ&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="505"></embed></object></p>
<p><object width="640" height="505"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/7upG01-XWbY&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/7upG01-XWbY&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;color1=0x5d1719&#038;color2=0xcd311b" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="505"></embed></object></p>
<p>Frank Sinatra, &#8220;Fly Me To The Moon&#8221;:</p>
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		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Wisdom of crowds&#8221; in popular culture, again</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/29/wisdom-of-crowds-in-popular-culture-again/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/29/wisdom-of-crowds-in-popular-culture-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2009 13:56:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Giberson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All Guest Authors's Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Collective Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[television]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wisdom of crowds]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=17501</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;The wisdom of crowds&#8221; has apparently seeped a bit into popular culture, or at least the geekier end of it. On the heels of British illusionist Derren Brown&#8217;s invoking of &#8220;the wisdom of crowds&#8221; as a (false) part of his &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/29/wisdom-of-crowds-in-popular-culture-again/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The wisdom of crowds&#8221; has apparently seeped a bit into popular culture, or at least the geekier end of it.</p>
<p>On the heels of British illusionist <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/12/derren-brown-lottery-wisdom-of-crowds/">Derren Brown&#8217;s invoking of &#8220;the wisdom of crowds&#8221;</a> as a <a href="http://knowledgeproblem.com/2009/09/14/the-wisdom-of-crowds-has-no-use-for-predicting-the-lottery/">(false) part of his explanation</a> of how he appeared to predict winning lottery numbers, <strong>last night a character in the <a href="http://www.fox.com/house/index.htm">American TV show House</a> invoked the wisdom of crowds as part of an explanation for how he obtained a diagnosis of his medical condition.</strong></p>
<p>(The character &#8211; a highly intelligent, geeky, successful video game designer &#8211; posted his medical symptoms on the internet and offered $25,000 for a successful diagnosis. Then, mentioning &#8220;wisdom of crowd&#8221; based reasoning,  concluded that the most frequent diagnosis appearing in emailed responses was likely correct. As the story turned out, the crowd-sourced diagnosis was incorrect. Instead, the correct diagnosis was submitted by series main character Greg House, working from home after quitting his job at the hospital.Â  The &#8220;wisdom of crowds&#8221; element doesn&#8217;t make it into the <a href="http://www.fox.com/house/recaps/s6_e03.htm">official episode summary</a>.)</p>
<p><strong>Although the crowd was wrong (the better to highlight how clever our main character is when, later, he provides the correct diagnosis), at least the basic &#8220;wisdom of crowds&#8221; logic illustrated in the episode was correct.</strong> As a fan of the show, I appreciate that it doesn&#8217;t insult my intelligence by dressing up clever cons with misleading science-based patter.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Robin Hanson escapes reality, enters the world of fiction.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/01/31/science-fiction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/01/31/science-fiction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jan 2009 14:16:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hollywood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robin Hanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science fiction]]></category>

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