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Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Category Archives: Market Prices & Probabilities
Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Journalism, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Drudge Report, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, information, InTrade, Journalism, Matt Drudge, Media, News, Politics, prediction markets, press, US politics
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New Zealand’s election gag law suspends iPredict’s political prediction markets. — [LINKS]
- Election gags and efficient markets. – Election gag.
Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Politics, Regulations
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Exchange, exchanges, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, laws, Market, markets, New Zealand, prediction market management, prediction markets, Regulations
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Prediction market manipulation — [LINK]
@ iPredict (New Zealand).
Once again, Yahoo!’s David Rothschild forgets to cite InTrade and BetFair as probability sources. — [OOPS]
Here. Previously.
Yahoo’s David Rothschild scraps market info from InTrade (and BetFair?), does not cite them, and does not link to them. — [UPDATED]
David Pennock’s little protégé should receive a crash course about citing sources. C’est minable. UPDATE: David Rothschild e-mails me to say he forgot to link to InTrade and BetFair in that story, at publication time, but he added the links … Continue reading
Though not a legal, registered financial advisor, Justin Wolfers hands out financial ‘advice’ to anyone who is foolish enough to listen. — [SCREENSHOT]
More. – “A financial adviser or stock broker should be licensed to provide any consultation on investment in securities.” -
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts, Regulations
Tagged 2012 elections, 2012 US presidential election, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, financial advisor, financial advisors, forecasting, forecasts, GOP, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, laws, Mitt Romney, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Regulations, Republican candidates, Republican Party, Republican primary, republicans, Rick Perry
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Ex-HSX Max Keiser claims that InTrade’s Ron Paul prediction market is manipulated. — [VIDEO]
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, News, Politics
Tagged Alex Jones, Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, event derivative market, event derivatives, forecasting, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, manipulation, market manipulation, Max Keiser, Politics, predicting, prediction market, prediction markets, radio, Ron Paul, US politics
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Post-Delaney InTrade experiences turmoil related to the debt ceiling prediction market. — [CHART + LINK]
37 pages (!!) on the InTrade message board. Once again, one can question the professionalism of the InTrade execs and the usefulness of the prediction markets.