Author Archives: Nigel Eccles

About Nigel Eccles

CEO of Hubdub - Edinburgh, Scotland, United Kingdom, E.U.

Hubdub Election Map Released (Including Dynamic Widget)

Posted on September 24, 2008 by Nigel Eccles

We’ve just released our 2008 Presidential Election Map. The map is based on markets for all 50 states. In addition to the page there is a map widget (displayed above). The widget goes into feed readers and also dynamically updates … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presdiential elections, Barack Obama, charting systems, charts, dynamic charts, HubDub, John McCain, Politics, prediction markets, United States, United States presidential election 2008, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

The market moved but is it news?

Posted on December 20, 2007 by Nigel Eccles

In financial markets there is strong evidence to suggest that news gets priced into markets within 15 minutes of its release and sometimes even more quickly. Recent research into prediction markets suggests that they arenâ€™t nearly as efficient with researchers … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged ABC Radio, Fred, Iraq, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, Pennsylvania, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, the New York Times, University of Pennsylvania, US President, US presidential elections, Washington D.C. | 3 Comments

Polls over prediction markets?

Posted on November 19, 2007 by Nigel Eccles

‘Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors’ is a paper by Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezian that calls into question whether prediction markets, and specifically IEM, is as accurate as proponents of prediction markets claim. The paper … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision) | Tagged accuracy, Christopher Wlezian, event derivative markets, event derivatives, polls, prediction markets, Robert Erikson | Leave a comment

Person-to-person freeform betting

Posted on August 7, 2007 by Nigel Eccles

Some time ago on Midas Oracle there was reference to flutter.com as one of the first sites that allowed users to create their own markets. I was lucky enough to be a product manager with flutter from mid-2000 through to … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Betting, Entrepreneurship, History, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged At sports, BetFair, broadband, Flutter, GBP, internet entrepreneurs, internet savvy audience, internet-savvy members, online users, people online times, prediction markets, product manager, Scotland, U.K. government, United Kingdom, United States, USD | 1 Comment