Author Archives: Mike Linksvayer

About Mike Linksvayer

VP at Creative Commons - California, U.S.A. I place my original contributions at Midas Oracle in the public domain.

The Economist is taking suggestions.

Posted on March 11, 2007 by Mike Linksvayer

Project Red Stripe: We’re a small team set up by The Economist Group, the parent company of the eponymous newspaper. Our mission is to develop truly innovative services online. We already have some ideas, of course. But as champions of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Entrepreneurship, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged eponymous newspaper, The Economist Group | 1 Comment

Long-term housing derivatives?

Posted on January 22, 2007 by Mike Linksvayer

Tangentially related to the recurring long-term prediction markets discussion, I noticed at Economic Housing Derivatives that TFS London has launched a “Future House Price Index” extending to 2030. A Reuters article says New indexes see UK house prices doubling by … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged Halifax, United Kingdom | Leave a comment

Economists to Watch

Posted on January 10, 2007 by Mike Linksvayer

Find the Midas Oracle author.

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged author | Leave a comment

Levitt’s risky prize-seeking behavior

Posted on December 30, 2006 by Mike Linksvayer

CFM already cited Steven Levitt’s Why Are Gambling Markets Organised So Differently From Financial Markets?, but it’s worth linking to again, if only to emphasize how different prediction markets are from most sports betting, and because Levitt just linked to … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting | Tagged sports betting, Steven Levitt, USD | 1 Comment

Libertarian baiting

Posted on December 13, 2006 by Mike Linksvayer

CFM hated it when Peter McCluskey wrote: What many of us want from prediction markets bears more resemblance to the products of think-tanks than it does to any other institution that I’m aware of But this reminds me of something. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged Alexander Tabarrok, Bob Smither, Independent Institute, institute Research Director, judge, Libertarian Party, manager, Michael Badnarik, Nick Lampson, One LP, Peter McCluskey, prediction markets, Republican Party, rigors, Robin Hanson, Tom DeLay, Tom W. Bell, United States, United States Congress, USD, W. Bell I'd | 9 Comments

Irankling Study Group

Posted on December 11, 2006 by Mike Linksvayer

Three years after the Policy Analysis Market proposal’s untimely and tragic abortion has analysis of probable policy consequences improved at all? If reports on the Iraq Study Group are any indication, the answer is no. I gather a group of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Contract Statements | Tagged Iraq, Policy Analysis Market, prediction market site, United States | 3 Comments