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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Mat Fogarty</title>
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	<link>http://www.midasoracle.org</link>
	<description>Prediction Markets For All</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jul 2008 17:15:10 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Xpree = Innovations + Prediction Markets</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/29/5936/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/29/5936/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jan 2008 04:11:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mat Fogarty</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[All Guest Authors's Posts]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Consulting]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Exchanges &amp; Markets]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Forecasting]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Inventions &amp; Innovations]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Designs]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Mechanism Designs]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Software]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[innovations]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Xpree]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/29/5936/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Xpree launches Open Innovation Markets,  a simplified betting interface and also a new website.
Open Innovation Markets combines crowd based innovation, voting and prediction markets.  The idea is to brainstorm as a community, vote on the ideas to rank them, then forecast key metrics using a market (cost to develop etc).  Prediction markets [...]<p><a href="http://sharethis.com/item?&#038;wp=2.6&#38;publisher=dc7ec16b-0ac0-4b12-8e9d-40ce422c869e&#38;title=Xpree+%3D+Innovations+%2B+Prediction+Markets&#38;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.midasoracle.org%2F2008%2F01%2F29%2F5936%2F">ShareThis</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=80ad7ae09e089acf452f62c76e7b72ae&amp;default=http://www.midasoracle.org/box/images/gravatar.png' alt='No Gravatar' width=50 height=50/><!-- sphereit start --><p><strong>Xpree launches <a href="http://www.xpree.com/our-solutions/open-innovation-markets" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview ('/outbound/www.xpree.com');">Open Innovation Markets</a>,  a simplified betting interface and also a <a href="http://www.xpree.com/" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview ('/outbound/www.xpree.com');">new website</a>.</strong></p>
<p>Open Innovation Markets combines crowd based innovation, voting and prediction markets.  The idea is to <strong>brainstorm as a community, vote on the ideas to rank them, then forecast key metrics</strong> using a market (cost to develop etc).  Prediction markets work well for the estimations of unbiased key metrics, combining this with voting allows the crowd to bet on only the top ranked ideas.</p>
<p>In an effort to make truly Usable Markets, we changed from a &#8220;stock trading&#8221; metaphor to a &#8220;betting&#8221; metaphor.  In research, we found that players found shorting stock to be a lot less intuitive than going long.  With betting, &#8220;I bet $100 that X is lower than 3,000&#8243; is as easy as saying &#8220;I bet $100 that X is higher than 3,000&#8243;, and is a whole lot easier than &#8220;I sell short 10 stock units at an average price of $X, and cover this with $Y&#8221; etc.   We have <a href="http://www.xpree.com/view-demo" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview ('/outbound/www.xpree.com');">some demos</a> on our site for you to try out.  For the prediction market purists out there, we still allow the player to see the underlying prediction market dynamics - no black boxes at Xpree.</p>
<p>Feedback welcome.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.xpree.com/open_innovation.png" alt="prediction markets" /></p>
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<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/03/25/xpree-job/" rel="bookmark" title="March 25, 2008">Mat Fogarty&#8217;s Xpree needs a mini Chris Hibbert.</a></li>

<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/09/how-to-make-a-set-of-xpree-prediction-markets-in-3-easy-steps/" rel="bookmark" title="November 9, 2007">How to make a set of Xpree prediction markets in 3 easy steps</a></li>

<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/18/newsfutures-prediction-markets/" rel="bookmark" title="April 18, 2008">STRAIGHT FROM THE DOUBLESPEAK DEPARTMENT: NewsFutures CEO Emile Servan-Schreiber, well known to chase tirelessly the Infidels who dare calling &#8220;prediction markets&#8221; their damn polling system, is eager to sell the confusion to his clients and whomever would listen.</a></li>

<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/05/07/innovation-vote-prediction-markets/" rel="bookmark" title="May 7, 2008">Innovation Mechanism = Voting Mechanism + Prediction Market Mechanism</a></li>

<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/29/mat-fogartys-video-pitch-for-xpree/" rel="bookmark" title="November 29, 2007">Mat Fogarty&#8217;s video pitch for Xpree</a></li>

<li><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/24/xpree-blog/" rel="bookmark" title="June 24, 2008">Xpree Blog</a></li>
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	Tags: <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/tag/innovations/" title="innovations" rel="tag">innovations</a>, <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/tag/prediction-markets/" title="prediction markets" rel="tag">prediction markets</a>, <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/tag/xpree/" title="Xpree" rel="tag">Xpree</a><br />
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