Author Archives: Jonathan Gewirtz

About Jonathan Gewirtz

Blog Owner - U.S.A.

Iran – Is Something Really Up?

Both Spook86 and Michael Ledeen suggested a few days ago that the USA might be adopting a stronger position towards Iran. Are we? Look at Tradesports’ price history for its AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.DEC07 contract: (Click the thumbnail to display a large version … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

How to Define EU Failure for Betting Purposes?

Scenarios for possible breakup of the European Union have been a lively discussion topic for years. So far the EU is holding together but the possibility of some kind of radical restructuring is always in the background. With the help … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals) | Tagged , , , , , , , | 4 Comments