Author Archives:
World Blogging Month (WoBloMo)
Our fearless conductor Chris Masse has mastered the art of blogging, including the key ingredient of consistent daily posts. He knows what Stephen King knows: quantity and quality can be friends.
For a pseudo-blogger like me intimidated by those seven letters “P u b l i s h”, I could use some prodding from ludicrous and [...]
New Yahoo! News election dashboard
Cross-posted on Oddhead Blog.
The Yahoo! News Political Dashboard has re-launched for the general election stretch run of the 2008 US Presidential election.
From the main map you can see the status of the election in every state according to either polls or Intrade prediction market odds. Hover your mouse over a state to see current numbers [...]
Predict Olympic medal counts on YooPick.
Cross posted from Oddhead Blog.
We’ve just added a new feature to Yoopick especially for Frenchmen Chris and Emile and citizens of nineteen other countries to place their swagor* on how many medals their country will win.
We’ve argued that the Yoopick interface is useful for predicting almost any kind of number, and since medal count is [...]
Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago
Please join us at the Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, in Chicago on the afternoon of July 9, 2008. We plan academic talks, an industry panel, and open discussion. Participation is open to anyone, and we hope to be as flexible as possible in allocating speaking time. See the workshop website or the full Call [...]
The right way to implement a multi-outcome prediction market: Linear programming
Over on Oddhead Blog, I give a lengthy pitch for linear programming as the “right” way to implement a multi-outcome prediction market.
I argue that the simplest and most common approach — to treat a multi-outcome market as a bunch of independent single-outcome markets — is wrong, even though it’s the approach taken by most prediction [...]
Yahoo! Election 2008 Political Dashboard
(Cross posted from Oddhead Blog.)
I’m happy to report the launch of the Yahoo! Election ‘08 Political Dashboard. Using the dashboard, you can navigate through a wealth of election-related data, including prediction market data from intrade.com, polling data from Real Clear Politics, search buzz data from Yahoo!, and financial contributions data, regional demographic data, and historical [...]
Seeking nominations for an industry panel at the Second Workshop on Prediction Markets
PM affectionados: We’re seeking nominations for participants in an industry panel that will take place at the Second Workshop on Prediction Markets on June 12 in San Diego.
We’d love to hear from both producers and consumers of prediction markets technology, from companies large and small, from established players and newcomers. War stories and anecdotal reports [...]
No prediction market bloggers on Blogshares
The only prediction market blog I could find on Blogshares is this so-called subject tracer site, which does not even appear to be a blog at all. Is there a good reason no PM blogs are listed? Is it because
I didn’t look hard enough?
Prediction market bloggers don’t eat their own dogfood?
No one cares about [...]
Soliciting Research Papers for the 2nd Workshop on Prediction Markets
As Chris already mentioned, we’re holding an academic workshop on prediction markets on June 12, 2007, in San Diego. Research paper submissions are due March 23, 2007. We’d love to see a range of folks from academia and industry attend to discuss the latest advances in prediction markets research.
You can signal your intent to attend [...]
Recent Comments