Meta
-
Recent Posts
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Author Archives: David Pennock
What’s different about Predictalot?
A predictalot user asked: What’s the difference between predict a lot y Bolsa de predicciones? they have the same things or at least very similar. ?Are you the same? They have predictions, groups, events etc. the only difference is the … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Market Prices & Probabilities, Research
Tagged David Pennock, forecasting, forecasts, Predictalot, predicting, Predictions
1 Comment
Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot
Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella? Economists: Play with a true combinatorial … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs, Research, Software, Sports
Tagged Betting, betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, gaming, Predictalot, prediction markets, Sports
Leave a comment
World Blogging Month (WoBloMo)
Our fearless conductor Chris Masse has mastered the art of blogging, including the key ingredient of consistent daily posts. He knows what Stephen King knows: quantity and quality can be friends. For a pseudo-blogger like me intimidated by those seven … Continue reading
New Yahoo! News election dashboard
Cross-posted on Oddhead Blog. The Yahoo! News Political Dashboard has re-launched for the general election stretch run of the 2008 US Presidential election. From the main map you can see the status of the election in every state according to … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References, Software
Tagged betting makets, David Pennock, election dashboard, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, News, Politics, prediction markets, US politics, Yahoo!, Yahoo! News, Yahoo! News election dashboard
16 Comments
Predict Olympic medal counts on YooPick.
Cross posted from Oddhead Blog. We’ve just added a new feature to Yoopick especially for Frenchmen Chris and Emile and citizens of nineteen other countries to place their swagor* on how many medals their country will win. We’ve argued that … Continue reading
Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago
Please join us at the Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, in Chicago on the afternoon of July 9, 2008. We plan academic talks, an industry panel, and open discussion. Participation is open to anyone, and we hope to be as … Continue reading
The right way to implement a multi-outcome prediction market: Linear programming
Over on Oddhead Blog, I give a lengthy pitch for linear programming as the “right” way to implement a multi-outcome prediction market. I argue that the simplest and most common approach — to treat a multi-outcome market as a bunch … Continue reading
Yahoo! Election 2008 Political Dashboard
(Cross posted from Oddhead Blog.) I’m happy to report the launch of the Yahoo! Election ’08 Political Dashboard. Using the dashboard, you can navigate through a wealth of election-related data, including prediction market data from intrade.com, polling data from Real … Continue reading
Seeking nominations for an industry panel at the Second Workshop on Prediction Markets
PM affectionados: We’re seeking nominations for participants in an industry panel that will take place at the Second Workshop on Prediction Markets on June 12 in San Diego. We’d love to hear from both producers and consumers of prediction markets … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings
Tagged Prediction Markets PM, San Diego
Leave a comment