Author Archives:
The simExchange on July video game sales
This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales data.
Sony’s PS3 sales came in line with market expectations at 159,000 units. The simExchange market [...]
IPO Price Discovery
Since the launch of the simExchange, stocks and futures contracts have debuted at a price suggested by the submitter of the game with some adjustment by the admins of the simExchange. This price was generally too high or too low, resulting in sharp price moves following the IPO and windfall profits. This is [...]
NPD June sales data reviewed
This is the fourth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on the NPD Group’s monthly sales data. This month, the simExchange expanded its contract offerings to include 10 software SKUs.
PS3 sales came in line with market expectations at 98,500 units. The simExchange market expected 98,400 units to be sold in [...]
Shifting from stocks to futures
This article was originally written for the simExchange community to inform them that there will be no weekly IPOs for new game stocks this week.
There will be no stock IPOs on the simExchange for the week of July 9. Part of the reason is to shift trading activity to the futures contracts. As you may [...]
The new market maker is here!
This article was originally written for traders on the simExchange video game prediction market yesterday to introduce the new market making technology that was rolled out early this morning.
Many veterans have come to notice some problems with trading on the simExchange. No matter how strong the community feels, sometimes the price just doesn’t reflect what [...]
NPD releases May sales data, Crowd vs Expert compared
In the third month of trading hybrid futures to predict NPD’s monthly console sales data, it appears the Crowd is continuing to outperform one of the leading Wall Street analysts. This month, the traders on the simExchange were closer on the sales of four out of five consoles. In March and April, the Crowd [...]
NPD releases April sales data, prediction market and analyst compared
Last month was the first month the simExchange (the free to play video game stock market game) has traded monthly hybrid futures contracts to predict NPD US video game sales data. In this trial run, trading on the simExchange appeared to be relatively more accurate than expert predictions. To quickly review, the following [...]
Accounting sales of digitally downloaded games
This post was originally written for users of the simExchange prediction market following the listing of a new video game product that is distributed both through traditional retail channels but also digital downloads.
With the listing of LittleBigPlanet, the simExchange community has been a flurry on how the stock should account for the game’s sales. [...]
A lesson in stock trading mechanics
A simExchange player (jayen) recently asked about how prices adjust in the real stock market compared to how trading on the simExchange works. This question came from a special event on April 26 following Ubisoft Entertainment’s earnings announcement. Ubisoft had announced that it has sold 950,000 copies of Red Steel when the stock was only [...]
Next lesson: so the “futures” aren’t really futures
This post was originally written for users of the simExchange prediction market following the expiration of March 2007 futures, the first round of the new prediction product.
So now you’ve got a taste of what futures contracts are like…shorter-term projections and an expiration process. New questions like “to close out the position before expiration or let [...]
Recent Comments