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Recent Posts
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Author Archives: Brian Shiau
The simExchange on July video game sales
This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged blog, console hardware, leading analyst, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, PS3, simExchange Official, software sales, Sony, USD, Wedbush Morgan
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IPO Price Discovery
Since the launch of the simExchange, stocks and futures contracts have debuted at a price suggested by the submitter of the game with some adjustment by the admins of the simExchange. This price was generally too high or too low, … Continue reading
NPD June sales data reviewed
This is the fourth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on the NPD Group’s monthly sales data. This month, the simExchange expanded its contract offerings to include 10 software SKUs. PS3 sales came in line with … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Big Brain Academy, Electronic Arts, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, leading analyst, Mario Party, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, official, Phoenix, Pokemon Battle Revolution, PS2, PSP, Sony, The simExchange LLC, United States, Wedbush Morgan, Wii Play, Xbox 360
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Shifting from stocks to futures
This article was originally written for the simExchange community to inform them that there will be no weekly IPOs for new game stocks this week. There will be no stock IPOs on the simExchange for the week of July 9. … Continue reading
The new market maker is here!
This article was originally written for traders on the simExchange video game prediction market yesterday to introduce the new market making technology that was rolled out early this morning. Many veterans have come to notice some problems with trading on … Continue reading
NPD releases May sales data, Crowd vs Expert compared
In the third month of trading hybrid futures to predict NPD’s monthly console sales data, it appears the Crowd is continuing to outperform one of the leading Wall Street analysts. This month, the traders on the simExchange were closer on … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged blog, Electronic Arts, game software, Mario Party, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD, NPD Group, PS2, Sony, The simExchange Official, Wall Street, Wedbush Morgan
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NPD releases April sales data, prediction market and analyst compared
Last month was the first month the simExchange (the free to play video game stock market game) has traded monthly hybrid futures contracts to predict NPD US video game sales data. In this trial run, trading on the simExchange appeared … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged analyst, blog, game software, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, NPD US, official, prediction markets, PS2, simExchange, Sony, Super Paper Mario, United States, Wall Street, Wedbush Morgan
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Accounting sales of digitally downloaded games
This post was originally written for users of the simExchange prediction market following the listing of a new video game product that is distributed both through traditional retail channels but also digital downloads. With the listing of LittleBigPlanet, the simExchange … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry
Tagged Best Buy, blog, Microsoft, Nintendo, online distribution, online gaming stores, online sales, online store, online stores, PlayStation Network (PSN), retail, retail packaging, retail sales, simExchange Official, Sony Corp, video game product, Xbox Live Arcade, Xbox Live Arcade (XBLA)
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A lesson in stock trading mechanics
A simExchange player (jayen) recently asked about how prices adjust in the real stock market compared to how trading on the simExchange works. This question came from a special event on April 26 following Ubisoft Entertainment’s earnings announcement. Ubisoft had … Continue reading
Next lesson: so the “futures†aren’t really futures
This post was originally written for users of the simExchange prediction market following the expiration of March 2007 futures, the first round of the new prediction product. So now you’ve got a taste of what futures contracts are like…shorter-term projections … Continue reading