Author Archives: Barry Ritholtz
Misunderstanding Prediction Market Failures
Every now and again, I read something that simply makes my head spin. This [] New York Times article on prediction markets was just such a head-spinning column. It reached such a bizarre conclusion that it begs for comment.
Longtime readers are familiar with my views on prediction markets. I believe they have some value, when [...]
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
|
Tagged CEO, David Leonhardt, Delphi, Hawaii, Howard Dean, Iowa, Michael Jackson Trial, Morgan Stanley, New York Times, Purcell, Republican Party, Senate, the Times, United States, Wall Street
Odds of GOP Retaining Congressional Control
A recent comment to yesterday’s Citibank Panic/Euphoria discussion led to this post being inserted in the weekend linkfest:
According to Tradesports, the odds of the Republican Party retaining control of each Congressional House in the 2006 Mid Term Election is mixed.
In the Senate, only one third of the 100 seats are up for re-election. Votes are [...]
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
|
Tagged Citibank, Iowa, Republican Party, See , Race, Senate, Tennessee, Virginia
Recent Comments