Author Archives: Barry Ritholtz

About Barry Ritholtz

Ritholtz Research & Analytics - New York, U.S.A.

Misunderstanding Prediction Market Failures

Every now and again, I read something that simply makes my head spin. This [] New York Times article on prediction markets was just such a head-spinning column. It reached such a bizarre conclusion that it begs for comment. Longtime … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Odds of GOP Retaining Congressional Control

A recent comment to yesterday’s Citibank Panic/Euphoria discussion led to this post being inserted in the weekend linkfest: According to Tradesports, the odds of the Republican Party retaining control of each Congressional House in the 2006 Mid Term Election is … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments