Monthly Archives: May 2011

Frac gas exploitation pollutes drinking water. — [PAPER]

[...] evidence for methane contamination of shallow drinking water systems in at least three areas of the region and suggest important environmental risks accompanying shale gas exploration worldwide. – Methane Contamination of Drinking Water Accompanying Gas-Well Drilling and Hydraulic Fracturing. … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Inventions & Innovations, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]

http://corporate.crowdpark.com/ http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/

Posted in Betting, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Nate Silver criticizes InTrade for its short-lived Obama bounce following Bin Laden’s assassination. — [CHART]

Scenarios.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The science of the Nickel-Hydrogen cold fusion reactor — [VIDEO]

Sergio Focardi: Follow our tags for more on the fascinating E-cat.

Posted in Inventions & Innovations, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The ‘carrot and stick’ approach has been oversold. — [VIDEO]

Posted in Business Administration, Economics, Psychology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

InTrade’s prediction markets on secretive events are just an Irish scam. — [ANALYSIS]

Paul Hewitt: How do we know the Intrade price was not accurate? Well, the raid wasn’t just executed on a whim. It had been planned for quite some time. Therefore, the true likelihood must have been much higher than the … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

InTrade on the elimination of Osama Bin Laden — [ANALYSIS]

Mike Giberson: How do we know, now, that Intrade’s market price was not an accurate estimate of the probability bin Laden was killed or captured by September 2011? Is an prior estimate of 50 percent likelihood that a tossed coin … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Grandson of famed economist Milton Friedman is sued for downloading porn over the Internet. — [LINK]

Patri Friedman: http://m.wired.com/threatlevel/2011/03/bittorrent/

Posted in News | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Andrea Rossi’s E-Cat is a cold fusion reactor able to convert few grams of nickel powder and a small amount of high pressure hydrogen into heat for many months. — [VIDEO]

Someone has translated in English the Italian documentary on Andrea Rossi’s cold fusion reactor: For background story, click on the tags, “Andrea Rossi“, “E-cat“, or “LENR“. ADDENDUM:

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Individual Intelligence - Anti Consensus, Inventions & Innovations, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Tyler Cowen’s The Great Stagnation — [REVIEW]

Jason Ruspini: I don’t think Cowen failed to appreciate these points, but explaining the rate-of-change in productivity, mean income, asset returns, etc. in terms of a technological slowdown is still mainly a “story” that we are telling ourselves. We could … Continue reading

Posted in The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment