Monthly Archives: February 2011

InTrade’s Brand-New Rules for Departure Markets – [MARKET CONTRACT STATEMENTS]

Posted on February 18, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade: IMPORTANT: Rules for Departure Markets Friday, Feb 18, 2011 As detailed in a previous Exchange News item, we have launched a new series of markets for the departure of various leaders in the Middle East region. These contracts are … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Winklevoss Syndrome = the false belief that an idea is ownable and that the real value of a business is strongly linked to the idea. – [ANALYSIS]

Posted on February 18, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

QUOTE Ideas in isolation have no value, ideas once executed ‘may’ have value. UNQUOTE

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship, Inventions & Innovations | Leave a comment

The Motley Fool = a bad predictor – [IDIOTS MASQUERADING AS FINANCIAL ANALYSTS]

Posted on February 18, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

April 30, 2004: – “Google IPO? No Thanks.”

Posted in Business, Business & Economic Models, Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

IBM researchers discuss the technology behind Watson, the language-parsing machine that recently beat two of the world’s best players in Jeopardy. – [VIDEO]

Posted on February 18, 2011 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Information Technology, Inventions & Innovations, Psychology, Research | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Peter Thiel: The wisdom of crowds has been very overated. If you’re libertarian, you should be skeptical of the wisdom of crowds. – [SHOTGUN ANALYSIS]

Posted on February 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

0:47:15 into the video I posted 5 minutes ago.

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Are we suffering from a lack of innovation? – [VIDEO]

Posted on February 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Max Levchin and Peter Thiel:

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship, Finance, Inventions & Innovations, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Robin Hanson’s prediction markets on FOX Business’s John Stossel – [VIDEO]

Posted on February 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

http://www.foxbusiness.com/watch/stossel/ I will post the video, later on. UPDATE: – 13 minutes into:

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Politics, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2011 Q1′s economic blogger survey – [POLL]

Posted on February 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Kauffman Foundation – PDF file.

Posted in The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

InTrade took ample time to settle the (redux) Mubarak contracts. – [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Posted on February 16, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

They waited some time before settling the 3 markets, as you can spot on this chart: After a big fail, one can never be too prudent. Previously: InTrade CEO John Delaney apologizes for the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction market scandal. — … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Ex-BetFair Mark Davies’s website has been assigned a PageRank of zero by Google. Why? – [QUESTION]

Posted on February 16, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Does anybody know why? What did he do that was so wrong in the eyes of Google? Mystery wrapped in a riddle inside an enigma.

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment