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Recent Posts
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: March 2010
Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot
Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella? Economists: Play with a true combinatorial … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs, Research, Software, Sports
Tagged Betting, betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, gaming, Predictalot, prediction markets, Sports
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Why does the CFTC allow the Cantor Exchange and not InTrade?
Joe Weisenthal has a small opinion piece on why the CFTC allows real-money prediction markets on movie business, and bans those on politics or sports. The problem in the piece is that Joe is 100% wrong. Joe says that there … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Hedging & Insurance, Politics, Regulations
Tagged Cantor Exchange, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Hedging, hedging risk, hedging risks, hedging your political ads, InTrade, laws, Regulations, risk, risk hedging, risks, US CFTC, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission
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Michael Lewis on CBS 60 Minutes: How the capitalism was almost destroyed by the capitalists in the fall of 2008 – [VIDEO]
Download this post to watch the video embedded below —if your feed reader does not show it to you. Watch CBS News Videos Online Part 2: Watch CBS News Videos Online Felix Salmon review of Michael Lewis’s book, “The Big … Continue reading
Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, History, The Global Economy
Tagged 2008 financial crisis, 60 minutes, banks, capitalism, capitalists, CBS 60 Minutes, credit, economic crisis, economy, Finance, financial crisis, Financial Markets, investment banks, Michael Lewis, stock markets, The Big Short, US banks, US economy, US financial markets, US stock market, Wall Street, world economy
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Peter Schiff on CNBC Fast Money – [VIDEO]
March 9, 2010 Ron Paul – March 11, 2010 Jim Rogers:
Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, The Global Economy
Tagged bonds, Finance, global economy, gold, Peter Schiff, real estate, stocks, US Bonds, US dollat, US economy, US stock market, US stocks
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Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions
He cherry-picks positive outcomes in hindsight, and he measures probabilistic predictions categorically and in isolation. Don’t be fooled by any “research scientist”.
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Economics, Humor, Prediction Post-Mortem, Science
Tagged accuracy, forecasts, Humor, Predictions, probabilities
5 Comments
CrowdPark = collective forecasting in German
http://www.crowdpark.de/ Everything is explained in German on their blog. Sounds cool. It would be interesting to have an English version.
Posted in Collective Forecasting
Tagged Collective Forecasting, CrowdPark, social forecasting
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In light of the upcoming “bursting” of the Cantor Exchange, Max Keiser have regrets about creating the Hollywood Stock Exchange.
Max Keiser: Joe Weisenthal drinks the Kool-Aide http://www.businessinsider.com/how-the-cantor-exchange-movie-trading-platform-works-2010-3 The CFTC really should be called to account for launching something like this – while the fire is still burning on the various CFTC approved products/contracts responsible for the last two years … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance
Tagged bubbles, Cantor Exchange, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, Max Keiser
2 Comments
Max Keiser claims to have predicted the Lehman Brothers creative accounting thing.
MAX KEISER FOR PRESIDENT…!!!…
Posted in Ethics, Finance, Politics
Tagged Finance, Greece, Greek politics, Lehman Brothers, Max Keiser, MAX KEISER FOR PRESIDENT, Politics
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