Monthly Archives: November 2009

Abolish the Federal Reserve, buy gold and avoid the US dollar.

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, Politics, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Why Nate Silver is wrong about the usefulness of long-term prediction markets: IT DIDN’T WORK. IT IS A PATENTED FAIL.

Nate Silver becomes a little Robin Hanson fanboy… after just a lunch with the Master. ACT ONE: Nate Silver lunched with Robin Hanson, one month ago, to interview him for his future book about forecasting. ACT TWO: Robin Hanson has … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Crowdsourcing falls into the ravine.

UPDATE: Jimmy Wales gives the true numbers of Wikipedia editors. + Wikipedia note.

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High-resolution map of carbon dioxide emissions in the United States

Kevin Gurney:

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An Inconvenient Debt

About the mounting federal debt:

Posted in Finance, Politics, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Blind faith in gold?

Jason Ruspini: There is no blind faith involved. A lot of trading is about heuristics and when multiple oscillators and sentiment indicators get to extreme levels, it’s prudent to lighten up. When that happens, I agree that it’s actually a … Continue reading

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Is Apple becoming evil? — Jason Calacanis vs Guy Kawasaki

External Links: Paul Graham’s criticism of Apple + Phil Schiller Grants Interview About Apple’s App Store, Claims Devs Actually Like Approval Process. + The BusinessWeek interview + iPhone developers are stupid.

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Ibrahim Maalouf plays music with a trumpet in fourth tones.

Ibrahim Maalouf @ Wikipedia He explains it all 2:30 into the video:

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Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematics to predict political events.

Experts Who Predict the Future Criticism of Bueno de Mesquita’s Theories Addendum: Philip Tetlock’s foxes and hedgehogs

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Jim Rickards discusses $4,000 gold on CNBC.

Posted in Finance, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments