Robin, just because we don’t have another method of accurately predicting an outcome doesn’t mean we have to be so appreciative when a prediction market comes up with a forecast just before the outcome is revealed.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- First missile —just an appetizer.

- Second missile: A critical review of Robin Hanson’s paper, “A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy”.

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
This entry was posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply