Monthly Archives: October 2009

BetFair is not banned from France, yet. The French bill on Internet betting and gambling is still being processed.

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Niall O’Connor of BettingMarket.com and Mike Robb of BetFair alert us on the fact that BetFair might be banned in France [corrected from original version, see comments]. It was a complementary sub-bill (“an amendement”) proposed by a bunch of representatives … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

500-carat flawless diamond found in South Africa

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via i-Diamants thru FaceBook

Posted in Business, News | Leave a comment

Betfair is banned in France!

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Niall O'Connor

Under a surprise last-minute amendment to laws that will usher in the partial liberalisation of the French betting market, betting exchanges such as Betfair have been outlawed.  Perhaps, unsurprisingly, Betfair, which recently boasted that its contacts in France would ensure … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

“The most bombastic prediction markets blogger say that the market has failed if its price close to closing is far away from the final price.”

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

My dear honorable Eric Crampton, Here’s what I published about the “Olympics in Chicago” prediction markets: The market participants did not possess a sufficient level of information completeness to arrive at the correct prediction. Stay away from these markets where … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , | 4 Comments

iPredict New Zealand = good predictor

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via the NZ economist

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Nobel Prize for Economics 2009 Predictions

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The 2009 Nobel prize for economics (2009 Sveriges Riksbank prize in economic sciences) will be awarded on Monday, October 12, 2009. 1. Bookmakers Ladbrokes’s probabilities (odds) for the 2009 Nobel prize in economics: Eugene Fama 2/1 Paul Romer 4/1 Ernst … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Collective Forecasting, Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

WARNING: CONTAINS GRAVITONS.

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Humor | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Niall O’Connor told you so.

Posted on October 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Analysis (Industry) | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

The PoliticalBetting.com Appreciation Society @ FaceBook

Posted on October 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The PoliticalBetting.com Appreciation Society @ FaceBook For Mike Smithson’s fanboys.

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The truth about the H1N1 flu vaccine

Posted on October 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Should you get the shot?

Posted in Science | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment