Monthly Archives: September 2009

Decision Making and Chance

Mike Orkin: Certain gambling games, such as roulette and craps, are games of pure chance: In repeated play, luck disappears, and the persistent gambler will go broke. Other gambling activities, such as betting on sports or the stock market, may … Continue reading

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CASS SUNSTEIN

- Democrats push Cass Sunstein nomination. – EDITORIAL: Gays but not guns – Cass Sunstein: An Intellect Who Towers Over the Founders

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If you are like 80 percent of Americans, you believe that the U.S. economy has been, and will continue to be, built by entrepreneurs.

Build A Stronger America – by The Kauffman Foundation http://buildastrongeramerica.com/

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Bob Woodward on Investigative Journalism

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Peter Diamandis’s X Prize Foundation, founded in 1996 to usher in an era of private space flight, has brought a new era of innovation through competition along with it.

“In 1997, the total value of philanthropic prizes with purses of $100,000 or more was roughly $74 million. Today that number is $315 million.“

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Spigit Prediction Markets

Recently, IBM launched the SmarterCities Predictive Idea Markets, powered by Spigit. The markets are set up to poll crowd sentiment on different, non-exclusive outcomes to major questions facing cities over the next 40 years. As has been pointed out here, … Continue reading

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Let’s show Robin Hanson that we don’t need enterprise prediction markets to perform good technology intelligence.

This morning, check this: – Google Micropayments Coming And for the latest Robin Hanson: – Click here.

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Glenn Beck’s New Target: Regulatory “Czar” Cass Sunstein

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Gruber’s predictions about Apple’s 2009-09-09 event

FAIL

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BetFair value the losing bettors.

We are now in possession of the chat transcript they had on August 10th, 2009. BetFair’s weapon of deterrence (“You must be logged in to view Forum posts and replies”) did not deter us from our goal —getting to know … Continue reading

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